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Steve
Sailer
Live
not by lies. - Solzhenitsyn
To see what is in front of one's
nose needs a constant
struggle. - Orwell
Knowledge
is good. - Animal
House
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Articles
on Politics
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Who
is Steve Sailer? I'm
a reporter,
movie
critic for The American Conservative, VDARE.com columnist, and founder
of the Human Biodiversity Institute, which runs the invitation-only Human
Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals.
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Bush's
Immigration Speech
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VDARE.com
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5/14/06
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So, if each one of the 6,000 National
Guardsmen was on patrol an average of, say, 21 hours per week (which is
1/8th of the 168 hours in a week), that would provide one soldier per 2.6
miles of border.
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The
Pete Wilson Myth
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American Conservative
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5/08/06
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No
myth has become more entrenched in the media than that recent California
political history demonstrates that cracking down on illegal immigration
would be political suicide for Republicans.
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The
Duke Lacrosse Brouhaha and the Hunt for Tom Wolfe's 'Great White
Defendant'
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VDARE.com
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4/30/06
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"Every assistant D.A. in the Bronx … shared Captain Ahab's mania
for the Great White Defendant. For a start, it was not pleasant to go
through life telling yourself, 'What I do for a living is, I pack blacks
and Latins off to jail.'"
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How
to Rig an Immigration Poll
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VDARE.com
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4/16/06
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Also see Part 2 here.
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Four
myths about immigration and voting
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VDARE.com
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4/2/06
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The lack of accountability and integrity in the mainstream press is
striking. A pundit, once established, can apparently propagate nonsense
catastrophic to America for years without paying any career price for his
incompetence or bad faith.
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Undercover
Economist Underperforms on Why Poor Countries Are Poor
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VDARE.com
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3/19/06
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The fundamental problem is that it doesn't really pay in Africa to be a
good ruler.
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"The
Return of Patriarchy"
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VDARE.com
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3/5/06
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Post-modern cultures might well be eventually pushed aside by whichever groups of religious fundamentalists—Mormons, Orthodox Jews, Wahhabi Islamists—best succeed in motivating their followers to have lots of children.
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On
John Derbyshire's "Hesperophobia"
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VDARE.com
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2/26/06
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The genetic science is progressing so fast that we'll know soon enough—perhaps
two decades to be rock solid certain. We know which way the scientific
wind is blowing right now, but even if we ignore that, wouldn't the
prudent action be to wait a couple of decades, to restrict immigration and
refrain from utopian foreign adventures, until the science is in?
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Cesar
Chavez, Minuteman
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American Conservative
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2/27/06
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Like today’s
Minutemen, United Farm Worker staffers under the command of Chavez’s
brother Manuel patrolled the Arizona-Mexico border to keep out illegal
aliens. Unlike the well-behaved Minutemen, however, Chavez’s boys
sometimes beat up intruders.
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The
Larger Lessons of the Danish Cartoon Crisis
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VDARE.com
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2/12/06
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Danes and Muslims don't agree on the basics of social organization and
don't want to live under the same rules. That shouldn't be a severe
problem. It's what separate countries are for. But due to mass
immigration, it is in fact becoming a huge stumbling block.
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Americans
First
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American Conservative
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2/13/06
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In devising immigration policy, the question should be: what’s best for the citizens we already have?
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"It's
the End of the World as We Know It"
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VDARE.com
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1/15/06
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What the DNA researchers are uncovering as they scrape away the blather of
the Goulds and Diamonds is a world we already more or less know, the one
we all live in every day. The human race has its flaws. But the truth
about ourselves is not so horrible that we must be shielded from it by
self-appointed sages who get rich fabricating falsehoods.
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American
Gunfight
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VDARE.com
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1/8/06
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On November 1, 1950, two immigrant gunmen tried to assassinate
President Harry Truman in the name of Puerto Rican independence. They
might well have succeeded if not for one of the great acts of individual
heroism of the last century.
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Playing
the Holocaust Card
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VDARE.com
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12/20/05
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The odds of major anti-Semitic attacks in this country unfortunately rise
rapidly farther out into the future, as immigration brings in more
anti-Semites—which is one reason I work to cut back on immigration.
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Everyday
Economics: A review of Tim Harford's Undercover Economist
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New
York Post
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12/25/05
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TIM Harford
evidently hopes his new book "The Undercover Economist" joins
the apostolic succession of 2005's pop social science bestsellers that
began with Malcolm Gladwell's "Blink." Just as the hugely
popular "Freakonomics" by economist Steven D. Levitt and
journalist Stephen J. Dubner flaunted a front-cover blurb from Gladwell,
"The Undercover Economist" splashes Levitt's "Required
reading" tribute over the title.
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French
Lessons
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American Conservative
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12/19/05
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The nation that neocons most love to hate has followed their immigration prescriptions—to devastating results.
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A
Celebration of the Jewish Contribution to the American Christmas
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VDARE.com
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12/11/05
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Of the top 10 Christmas pop songs, Jews wrote five and co-wrote two more.
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Voting
Rights Act should protect all citizens
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VDARE.com
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12/4/05
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Nationwide, 92 percent of all Latino elected officials who ran under a
partisan label are Democrats, in large part because Hispanics are clumped
together in "majority-minority" districts.
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Sailer
Scheme for Muslim Immigrant Buyouts: Anybody have a better idea?
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VDARE.com
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11/27/05
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A recent BBC documentary revealed that 55 percent of married Pakistanis in
Britain are wed to first cousins! That's even a little higher than the
inbreeding rates seen in Pakistan—probably because Muslims in Europe use
cousin marriage as an engine of immigration fraud.
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My
"Citizenism" vs. Jared Taylor's "White Nationalism"
- Part 2
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VDARE.com
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11/20/05
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There has been an underlying trajectory to Western history that has
produced an America where citizenism is a lot more likely to appeal than
white nationalism.
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France
in Flames: Immigration, Not “Discrimination,” Is the Problem
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VDARE.com
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11/9/05
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The brutal fact is that the economic failings of France's Muslim and
African immigrants stem in large measure from their low average IQ.
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A
Buyout Option for Europe's Muslims
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VDARE.com
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11/6/05
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A push-pull policy could be very effective in getting Muslims to go away. European countries should combine the push of a crackdown on welfare and crime with the pull of a buy-out offer. Returning to the Old Country with a sizable nest egg would be alluring to many who haven't assimilated into the European middle
class.
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The
Slow Suicide of the GOP
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VDARE.com
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10/30/05
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You might think that the Bush Administration would promote policies making family formation more affordable for its political base. But the latest government data suggest
it is doing the opposite.
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The
Bush Bust
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VDARE.com
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10/23/05
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The Bush Administration is currently imploding on multiple fronts. Here at
VDARE.com, we'd like to remind you that: We told you so!
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The
Man Who Would Be Justice
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American Conservative
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10/10/05
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Last summer, when Alberto Gonzales's name was first floated as replacement
for Sandra Day O'Connor, Bush lashed out at conservatives for their tepid
response. Sounding like a cross between Don Corleone and the narrator of Green
Eggs and Ham, the president bristled, "I don’t like it when a
friend gets criticized. I'm loyal to my friends. And all of a sudden this
fellow, who is a good public servant and a really fine person, is under
fire. And so, do I like it? No, I don't like it at all."
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Citizenism
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VDARE.com
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10/8/05
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It has become a journalistic cliché that keeping down working class wages
through illegal immigration is "good for the economy" -- as if
the American economy exists for its own sake as opposed to existing for
the good of American citizens.
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Important
"Affordable
Family Formation"—The Neglected Key To GOP's Future
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VDARE.com
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5/8/05
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Mickey Kaus wrote on Slate.com: "Steve Sailer has boiled down the explanation for why some states become red and others become blue to three simple words. ("God" is not one of them.) ... His equation sure works for San Francisco. ..."
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"Mexican
Evolution" or "Republican Devolution"
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VDARE.com
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8/1/05
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White House strategist Matthew Dowd argues that we shouldn't worry our
pretty little heads about illegal immigration from Mexico because it will
go away in 2025.
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The
Wind from the South: Anti-White Populism
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VDARE.com
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6/26/05
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A mighty storm is brewing in Latin America, and it will eventually reach the U.S.
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Census
Bureau Deflates "Latino Power" Voting Hype
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VDARE.com
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5/29/05
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According to the Census survey, Hispanics cast only 6.0% of the vote in
2004, under my 6.1% prediction, and way under Michael Barone's 9%
speculation.
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Asian
"Natural Republicans" vote heavily Democratic: Any more bright
ideas?
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VDARE.com
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5/22/05
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Why have Asian-Americans deserted the GOP?
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Pre-emptive
Executions?
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American Conservative
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5/9/05
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Did legalizing abortion in the early ’70s reduce crime in the late ’90s by allowing “pre-emptive capital punishment” of potential
troublemakers, as Steven D. Levitt argues in Freakonomics? Or did the Supreme Court’s 1973 Roe v. Wade decision, by outmoding shotgun weddings, adoption, and respect for life, instead make more murderous the early ’90s crack wars fought by the first generation of youths to survive legalized abortion?
Click here for my follow-up responses on
abortion-crime.
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The Dirt Gap: A Tale of Two States
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American Conservative
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2/14/05
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The fundamental geographical reality underlying the division of Red vs.
Blue states.
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Autopsy
of 2004 Exit Poll
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VDARE.com
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1/25/05
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Democrat
Pollster Validates My Marriage Gap Red-Blue Theory
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VDARE.com
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1/23/05
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Unmarried women voted for Kerry by a 25-point margin (62% to 37%), while married women voted for President Bush by an 11-point margin (55%- 44%).
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Alberto Gonzales
Tortured the Law to Preserve Racial Quotas
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VDARE.com
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1/09/05
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Gonzales saved affirmative action in the
2003 University of Michigan cases by gelding the anti-affirmative action
briefs written by Ted Olson—the truly tragic figure in this
Administration.
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The GOP’s Third
Electoral Secret: Marriage, Fertility…And Cheap Housing
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VDARE.com
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12/19/04
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Out of 377 demographic measures, the top
three correlates with Bush's share of the vote by state are Years Married
among Whites, Growth in Housing Prices, and White Fertility.
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The Marriage Gap:
The Baby Gap's Big Brother
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VDARE.com
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12/12/04
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My sequel to "Baby Gap:" I find a
demographic measure that correlates even more outrageously with the 2004
election results.
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NRO Rebunks the
Hispanic Vote
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VDARE.com
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12/09/04
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It’s supposed to be an attack on my
interpretation of the 2004 presidential election results. But a close
reading shows that it largely supports my contention: the President's
unlimited open borders plan would both be bad for the Republican Party (by
importing more future Democrats than Republicans) and would not make the
GOP more popular with current Hispanic voters.
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Vindication
on the Hispanic Exit Poll
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VDARE.com
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12/06/04
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The exit poll's funders, AP and NBC, admit
it inflated Bush's share.
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The Baby Gap:
Explaining Red vs. Blue States
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American Conservative
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12/20/04
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Bush carried the 19 states with the highest white fertility (just as he did in 2000), and 25 out of the top
26. In sharp contrast, Kerry won the 16 states at the bottom of the white
fertility list. Background data and graphs, along with reader responses, here.
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What went wrong with
the 2004 exit poll
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VDARE.com
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11/28/04
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The technical problems that caused that
implausible report that Bush won 44% of the Hispanic vote.
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Blue States More
Inegalitarian
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VDARE.com
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11/21/04
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Census Bureau figures show that California,
traditionally America's trendsetter, is pioneering a new kind of class
structure—ominously like that of highly unequal Latin American countries
like Brazil or Mexico.
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The 2004 IQ
Wars: Kerry, Bush, and Red vs. Blue States
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VDARE.com
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11/14/04
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Millions of Democrats have consoled
themselves with a chart claiming to show that the average IQ in Kerry
states is much higher than in Bush states. It's the same hoax I exposed
last May, but now I have a new table
of honest data on average IQ by state. Unfortunately, it's outdated, but
it's still interesting.
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Bush's Brain
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American Conservative
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11/13/04
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For a moment, I thought
Sen. John F. Kerry was the exception to the rule that all liberals are
secretly obsessed—even though they tell each other they don’t believe
in it—with IQ.
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From the Folks who
Brought You President Kerry ...
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VDARE.com
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11/10/04
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The troubled exit poll that claimed that
Bush won 44% of Hispanics is not just inconsistent with the real
world, it's inconsistent even with itself, due to systematic inflating
of Hispanic votes for Bush.
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2004 Election
Wrap-up
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VDARE.com
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11/7/04
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It took four years, but the conventional
wisdom has finally accepted the “Sailer Strategy”—my oft-repeated
argument (which got VDARE.com banned by Free Republic) that the simplest
way for the GOP to win national elections is not outreach to minorities,
but inreach, to its white base.
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Does IQ Matter in a
President?
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VDARE.com
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10/28/04
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This is a more philosophical follow-up to
last week's investigative report
This Just In:
Kerry's IQ Likely Lower than Bush's!"
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Popular
This Just In:
Kerry's IQ Likely Lower than Bush's!
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VDARE.com
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10/21/04
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Bush's scores on the Air Force Officer
Qualifying Test have been briefly mentioned in the press. But nobody
before now has fully explained what they mean. And, even more important,
this is first article to publish Kerry's score on the Navy's Officer
Qualification Test. The two tests aren't perfectly comparable. But they
provide no evidence that Kerry is smarter. If anything, Bush is smarter
than Kerry.
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The Bush-Kerry
Debate on Immigration
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VDARE.com
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10/17/04
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What voters don't realize, because it seems
too crazy to even consider, is that Bush is not only lying about amnesty
for current illegal aliens, but that the President also wants to open the
borders to an unlimited number of "temporary" workers.
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Perils of
Decriminalization
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The
American Spectator
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9/7/04
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In Quentin Tarantino's Jackie Brown,
Samuel L. Jackson comes home to find Bridget Fonda lying on the couch,
smoking dope, and giggling at the TV. Disgusted, he tells her that
marijuana will rob her of her ambitions.
"Not if your ambition is to get high
and watch TV," she replies.
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Michael Barone,
Call your Office!
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VDARE.com
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8/15/04
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The supposedly sky-rocketing Hispanic share
of the vote shrank from 5.4 percent in 2000 down to 5.3 percent in
2002, according to new Census Bureau data.
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Michelle Malkin's In
Defense of Internment
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VDARE.com
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8/8/04
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Worries about Japanese attacks on the West
Coast were not simply a rationalization to drive out the Japanese
Americans. Serious decisions were based on these concerns. For instance,
the huge Kaiser steel mill, where the Liberty boats were to be built, was
situated well inland in Fontana, California, precisely to be out of range
of Japanese battleships.
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Jorge Ramos, Univision's
Blue-Eyed Boy
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VDARE.com
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8/1/04
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While the 16 Presidential "battleground
states" accounted for one third of the total vote in 2000, they were
home to only 21 percent of Hispanic voters.
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Moore is Less
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American Conservative
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8/2/04
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Most of my movie reviews for The
American Conservative are restricted to print to encourage you to subscribe,
but my piece on "Fahrenheit 9/11" is on the web.
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Black vs. Black,
but not Black vs. Brown, at Harvard
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VDARE.com
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6/27/04
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“While about 8 percent, or about 530, of
Harvard's undergraduates were black, Lani Guinier, a Harvard law
professor, and Henry Louis Gates Jr., the chairman of Harvard's African
and African-American studies department, pointed out that the majority of
them — perhaps as many as two-thirds — were West Indian and African
immigrants or their children, or to a lesser extent, children of biracial
couples."
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Presumed
Alliance: Black
vs. Brown
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VDARE.com
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6/13/04
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Compton, the spiritual home of West Coast
gangsta rap, is notorious for its corrupt and dysfunctional black-run
government. Still, a lot of people south of the Border have been down so
long that even Compton looks like up to them.
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A Bet for
Barone
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VDARE.com
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5/30/04
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I have a bet for famed neoconservative
pundit and television personality Michael Barone.
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The Brown
discussion's two missing letters: IQ
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VDARE.com
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5/16/04
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Writing about IQ, however, is wildly
popular among Democrats … for the sole purpose of asserting mental
superiority over Republicans, as shown by the table headlined "So
Democrats really are smarter," which appeared on hundreds of blogs,
and even was printed in The Economist.
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New
Revolutionary
Nepotism
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The
National Interest
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Winter, 2004
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Nepotism and dynasticism are on the rebound
in politics, both abroad and at home. A major article in the prestigious
quarterly The National Interest.
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Immigration:
Teddy K. outpanders Dubya
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VDARE.com
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5/9/04
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As I forecast, the Democrats have duly
offered to not only give all illegal aliens amnesty, but also to put them
on the road to citizenship…and, thus, to being good little Democrats.
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Frist's
First Priority: Medical Quotas
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VDARE.com
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4/25/04
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Med school quotas are justified on the
grounds that the beneficiaries often end up working in a minority
neighborhood. This is always presented as a heroic sacrifice by the quota
doctor, as if Cedars-Sinai in Beverly Hills was dying to get him, but he
felt such a strong sense of racial solidarity that he instead chose to
work at a clap clinic in Compton.
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Limits of
Libertarianism: Northern v. Southern California
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VDARE.com
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4/18/04
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Northern California's traditional elitism
has helped it withstand the onslaught of illegal immigration better than
Southern California's traditional populist libertarianism.
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Profile
in Billionaire Courage
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VDARE.com
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3/28/04
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Perhaps even more heretically, UC Board of
Regents Chairman John J. Moores thinks the academic-industrial complex
should keep its mitts off the less bright half of the population.
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The
Claremont Reichstag Fire
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VDARE.com
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3/28/04
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On March 9, Kerri Dunn, a white female
visiting professor of psychology at Claremont McKenna, dramatically
announced at anti-"hate" forum that she had just become the
victim of a hate crime: her car was covered with racist and anti-Semitic
graffiti. Not surprisingly, the police soon announced that Professor Dunn
had vandalized her own car.
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Minority
Outreach a Waste for GOP in 2004
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Insight
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4/13/04
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Q:
Should the GOP undertake more outreach to minorities during campaign
2004?
A:
NO: A better strategy is to increase GOP share of the white majority.
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The "Too
Diverse?" Brouhaha
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VDARE.com
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3/14/04
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There was never socialism in America
because there was never feudalism in America. Contra Marx, the socialist
urge grew not out of capitalism but out of the extreme inequality and
rigidity of the aristocratic system, where the nobility owned almost all
of the land by inheritance.
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California
Snoring, but ...
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VDARE.com
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2/29/04
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Gov. Schwarzenegger's one entertainingly
Ah-noldian (i.e., hyperambitious) moment came when he recently called for
a Constitutional amendment opening the Presidency to immigrants, such as,
oh, let's pick a crazy example out of left field, Gov. Schwarzenegger. So
far, there has been no response from his office to rumors that President
Schwarzenegger would then agitate for further reforms allowing agnostics
to become Pope and Earthlings to become Galactic Overlord.
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The Bush Cult
Crumbles
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VDARE.com
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2/15/04
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We on the Realistic Right were denounced as
heretics by the True Believer Right because we didn't understand that
reality had become obsolete, that Bush had shown that new, improved
realities could be conjured up through a sheer will to believe.
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The Bush
Adminstration's Malaise
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VDARE.com
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2/1/04
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History is likely to record the Bush
Administration’s turning point as January 7, 2004, when Bush needlessly
plunged his administration into a malaise by announcing the Karl Rove
Amnesty Plan (a.k.a. KRAP).
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The
Battle of Algiers
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American Conservative
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2/02/04
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Perhaps,
though, our soldiers should have shown their civilian overlords “The
Battle of Algiers” before the latter blithely decided to occupy an Arab
country. For extra verisimilitude, the special-ops boys could have
strapped Douglas Feith’s Office of Special Plans ideologue-warriors to
their armchairs, pinned their eyelids open, attached electrodes, and
applied little jolts of juice to help them remember the movie better. Even
without such stimulation, “The Battle of Algiers” is hard to forget
but also hard to enjoy.
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Invade
the World! Invite the World!
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VDARE.com
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1/25/04
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The French have traditionally tried to do
with their immigrants almost exactly what the neocons recommend here:
cultural assimilation, education in civics theories, monolingualism,
meritocracy, separation of church and state, and all the rest. This may
seem ironic, because nobody in Tikrit hates anybody worse than the neocons
hate the French. But that's the way it usually turns out with ideologues:
it's their nature to burn at the stake those heretics who deviate the most
minutely.
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Nothing
Verboten: An Interview with Steve Sailer
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ESR
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1/18/04
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Bernard Chapin interviews me on film
criticism, what in the world happened to neoconservatism, and why the fix
is in on immigration.
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What Is
Bush Thinking?
|
VDARE.com
|
1/11/04
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Steve Sailer would like to announce that he
has finally lost all patience with George W. Bush.
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Norquist &
Rove Pursue The Muslim Falcon
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VDARE.com
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12/7/03
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It's perfectly natural for Muslim-Americans
to favor Muslim interests -- just as it is for Armenian-Americans to favor
Armenian interests, Jewish-Americans to favor Israeli interests, or
Mexican-Americans to favor Mexican interests. But just because it's
inevitable doesn't mean any such group should be exempt from criticism.
The only way to keep ethnic activists honest is to not allow them to
suppress debate by playing the race and religion cards.
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Partition:
Pro and Con
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VDARE.com
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11/30/03
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One measure of how bad the situation has
gotten in Iraq: the foreign policy establishment is beginning to mention
the P-word: Partition. When the setting is favorable for partition,
such as in Canada, the bien-pensants uniformly favor multi-ethnic
polities. They only turn to the nation-state as a last resort, when
conditions are so desperate that partition probably won't work either.
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Now We Know:
What Happened in the Last Election
|
VDARE.com
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11/22/03
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The
2002 elections might seem like a long time ago. But in vital ways they
still provide the best guide to the rapidly approaching 2004 elections.
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The
GOP's Southern Strategy Wins Again
|
VDARE.com
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11/9/03
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The
Republican Party's venerable Southern Strategy was publicly tarred and
feathered as racist and obsolete by all the most “Righteous Right”
Beltway “conservatives” back during the Trent Lott brouhaha. But it
remains the electoral strategy that actually, you know, wins elections for
the GOP.
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Graphic
Evidence of the "Sailer Strategy" in California
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VDARE.com
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10/19/03
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Here's a graph showing that even in
California, the way the GOP wins elections is by mobilizing white voters.
The harsh fact is that when it comes to winning or losing, minority blocs
are just pocket change to the GOP. (Make sure to click
on the graph to enlarge it to readable size.)
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Bustamante Goes
Cruzin' for a Bruisin'
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VDARE.com
|
10/13/03
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Yet, rather than run for Governor of all
California, Bustamante campaigned as if the race was for el gobernador
de Mexifornia. Every time I turned on the TV, Bustamante was paying
tribute to "undocumented workers" and their moral right to
drivers' licenses, free college tuition, and welfare. He turned the recall
into a referendum on the wonderfulness of illegal immigration ... and
lost, badly.
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Dear Arnie
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VDARE.com
|
9/14/03
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Perhaps due to one of those Internet worms
that are going around, this email from JC@ImKingoftheWorld.com
mysteriously appeared in my inbox.
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Never End a
Nation with a Propostion
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VDARE.com
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8/24/03
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If believing propositions like "All
men are created equal" is what makes a foreigner an American, what -
in the Proposition Utopia of the near future - does disbelieving them make
an American like me? A candidate for deportation?
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Rove
Means Never Having to Say You're Sorry
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VDARE.com
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7/6/03
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The truth, however, is that Rove's minority
outreach initiatives have a lousy track record. And his disastrous attempt
to win Muslim votes foreshadowed all the errors he's making with Mexican
outreach.
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Cognitive
Dissidence on Quotas
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VDARE.com
|
6/29/03
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The essence of statesmanship is heading off
dangers before they become acute. Obviously, we can't rely on the Supreme
Court (average age 69) to protect us from perils that will hit hardest
after they have gone fully senile.
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New
America's
Scotch-Irish & Rove's Strategy
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VDARE.com
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6/15/03
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PRove is riding high now because George W.
Bush has managed to electrify and even seemingly embody one particular
ethnic group -- a group with high standards of self-sacrifice, one to
which Americans have traditionally turned to for leadership in perilous
times.
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Sea
Change or Smoke Screen?
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VDARE.com
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6/8/03
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Personally, I'm not terribly optimistic
about the fate of neoconservative plans to turn Iraq (of all places) into
Proposition Nation, Jr. But that probably won't hurt Bush much in the
upcoming election. For many Americans, so far as I can judge from
listening to country music radio stations, the Iraq Attaq wasn't about
democratizing the Middle East. It was about racial revenge. Some Arabs
blew up the World Trade Center, so we blew up some Arabs. Mission
accomplished.
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Karl
Rove: Time for a Career Change?
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VDARE.com
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5/4/03
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Since conquering Iraq, the Bush
Administration has been acting towards it with a timid indecisiveness
disturbingly reminiscent of the Carter years. Rather than declaring
martial law and immediately demonstrating to Iraqis who is in charge, the
White House adopted a hands-off, laissez-faire policy. This seems based on
the assumption that Iraq's looting louts, clamorous clansmen, mad mullahs,
and café conspirators were as ready for self-government as would be, say,
American Republicans. Conversely, under Rove, the Bush Administration has
treated American Republicans as if they were a treacherous conquered tribe
that must be ruled with a rod of iron. Clearly, the ideal solution would
be to ...
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California’s
Racial Privacy Initiative: Sailer vs. Taylor Round II
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VDARE.com
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4/27/03
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We have official statistics documenting to
the decimal place the racial makeup of the freshman class at the
University of Michigan. In contrast, there are no official statistics on
the religious makeup of the University of Michigan freshman class. But
guess what? Without government data on the subject, nobody cares.
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Ward Connerly's
Racial Privacy Initiative
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VDARE.com
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4/13/03
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But
if race is scientifically meaningful, does that argue against the RPI? I
think the opposite is truer. To me, the RPI is appealing precisely because
racial groups are fundamentally an outgrowth of that locus of primal human
emotions, the family. That means race is and always will be a hot potato.
Government should handle it as little as possible. Government should
especially avoid throwing fuel on the potato by designating some groups as
the beneficiaries and others as the victims of affirmative action.
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Bush's
Bakke II Brief: It's Déjà vu All Over Again
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VDARE.com
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1/16/03
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Many
on the Naïve Right are exulting over the first paragraphs in President
Bush's remarks on Wednesday siding against the University of Michigan for
using a racial quota admissions system. But (ahem!) didn't the Supreme
Court already outlaw "quotas" 25 years ago in the Bakke
decision? Fat lot of good that did. And fat lot of good the
Administration's "very narrowly tailored" brief to the Supreme
Court will do either.
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The
Lott Fallout Begins
|
VDARE.com
|
12/29/02
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|
As I predicted last week, the Democrats
enjoyed a very merry Christmas unwrapping the unexpected present
gift-wrapped for them by the Righteous Right punditariat: the
delegitimization of the last 38 years of GOP history.
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The
Righteous Right Fouls Up
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VDARE.com
|
12/22/02
|
|
Have you noticed that just about every GOP
pundit has loudly congratulated himself as a moral exemplar for demanding
Lott's resignation as Majority Leader -- yet none have called for Lott's
resignation as Senator, and, in fact, many have denounced any thought that
Lott should leave the Senate?
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California
Dreaming post-11/5
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VDARE.com
|
11/17/02
|
|
Taking another look at California's
electoral prospects.
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Whites,
not Latinos, won it for GOP
|
Washington
Times
|
11/12/02
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|
The demographic headline on the 2002
election was expected to be either "Democrats ride growing numbers of
nonwhite voters to victory," or "GOP wins by attracting more
minorities." Instead, non-whites played an anticlimactic role. The
star turn was taken by what had become the Invisible Giant of American
politics: the white electorate.
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GOP Wins Using Sailer
Strategy
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VDARE.com
|
11/10/02
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|
Following the GOP's tepid performance in
2000, I argued than their best strategy was to maximize their white vote.
Rove, DeLay, and Reed did exactly that this year. All their official talk
about the necessity of GOP minority outreach was in effect a smokescreen
for the Strategy That Dare Not Speak Its Name: turning out the white vote
en masse.
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Hispanic
Republican Swing: A Media Myth
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VDARE.com
|
10/13/02
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|
"Registered
Latinos who identify as Republicans take a much more liberal stand on
taxes and the size of government than their white counterparts. … About
half (52%) of registered Latinos who identified themselves as Republicans
said they would rather pay higher taxes to support a larger government,
while only 17% of white Republicans stated that view."
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The
Emerging Democratic Majority
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VDARE.com
|
10/6/02
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|
Many
of the arguments in Judis & Teixeira’s new book will be familiar to
students of the VDARE.COM School of voting analysis. Indeed, the phrase
"The Emerging Democratic Majority" probably first appeared in
print as the cover line introducing Peter Brimelow and Ed Rubenstein’s
1997 National Review article "Electing a New People."
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How the GOP can win in
November
|
VDARE.com
|
8/05/02
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|
Publicly dump Bush's Mexican
illegal immigrant amnesty plan and make attacks on Gephardt's proposed
bill giving amnesty to all illegals into the central issue of the mid-term
elections.
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Ward Connerly's Racial
Privacy Initiative
|
VDARE.com
|
6/20/02
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|
As a statistics
geek, I'd love to be able to download all the Census data sorted by
religion. But as an American, I'm glad I can't. There are some huge
disparities among the followers of the various religions in America, but
we think about these differences much less than we think about differences
among categories about which the government collects statistics. And
that's good for American unity.
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The Mexican
Vote & the Bush Dynasty
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VDARE.com
|
6/7/02
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|
Nobody seems to understand just
how tiny the Mexican-American vote actually is. This much-lusted after
niche demographic cast only 3.0% of the vote in 2000, up from 2.6% in
1996. (My short article follows an excellent Howard Sutherland piece.)
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San Fernando
Valley Secession
|
VDARE.com
|
5/31/02
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|
Growing up, I'd always thought of
"Studio City" as a perfectly normal name for a hometown. Then I
went off to Rice U., where the Houstonians found me disappointing. They
felt that as a Studio Citizen, I should be calling my agent while paddling
around in one of those inflatable pool chairs.
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Fortuyn: Demonization
Has Consequences
|
VDARE.com
|
5/8/02
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|
Do the left, center, and the
"respectable" right have Pim Fortuyn's blood on their hands?
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|
California Race
Shows Hispanic Cultural Conservatism a Paper Tiger
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VDARE.com
|
2/5/02
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|
Although
we've been told that Hispanics will vote Republican because they are
cultural conservatives, the two leading candidates for governor in
California are blithely ignoring this theoretical contradiction between
appealing to East L.A. and West Hollywood.
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Afghan
Insights of Man Who Would Be King
|
American
Enterprise
|
12/3/01
|
|
Originally
published on Sept. 26, and one of my most popular recent articles, this
analysis of the wonderful 1975 Sean Connery movie argued that the Taliban
could be beaten fairly easily, yet nation-building in Afghanistan is
likely to prove futile.
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Afghanistan's
Family/Race Problem & Ours
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VDARE.com
|
10/30/01
|
|
Assembling a post-Taliban government in a land where every extended family
has been the sworn enemy of practically every other family is particularly
perplexing for Americans. Because we rely less upon our extended families
than anyone else on Earth, we run into severe conceptual problems
understanding Afghans, who rank clan honor over all else. Yet
understanding how Afghans - and most other humans - think will also help
us grasp our most persistent domestic problem: race.
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Kicking Barone
While He's Down
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VDARE.com
|
10/13/01
|
|
Perhaps Michael Barone has a Machiavellian plan in mind to use heavy
immigration to drive whites out of the Democratic Party and into his
Republican Party. Personally, I'm leery of this kind of political
polarization along race lines. It may be inevitable, but shouldn't we try
to explore ways as a nation to head this off? Democrats want the GOP to
commit suicide chasing the chimera of conservative-voting minorities. As I
predicted last January, the only minorities the GOP's diversity outreach
effort had a good shot at picking up were Arabs and Muslims (by easing
anti-terrorist rules). That ploy has proved a mistake.
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9.11: Gods of the
Copybook Headings Return
|
VDARE.com
|
9/14/01
|
|
In response to the atrocities, supposedly
post-nationalist Americans united in one vast surge of that most
unfashionable of emotions, patriotism. Watching 350 firemen run into the
collapsing World Trade Center towers to die heroes' deaths, we born-again
patriots instantly grasped - after a decade of low dishonest assurances
that we should put our trust in multicultural sensitivity or UN
Conferences or foreign presidentes or globalized markets - the
simple but stern law of national survival, "We must love one another
or die," love one another enough to sacrifice for our nation, even
unto death.
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Ha Ha, We Were
Right, Karl Rove Was Wrong
|
VDARE.com
|
9/5/01
|
|
We said over a year ago that Fox was going to turn out to be George W.
Bush's Yeltsin. We said last Fall that for the GOP to chase after the
Hispanic vote via opening the immigration floodgates further made no
electoral sense. We said in the middle of summer that Bush's amnesty plan
was going to turn out to be HillaryCare all over again. You know, gloating
has a bad reputation. But we could kind of get used to it.
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Amnesty's
Bad Math
|
National
Review Online
|
8/22/01
|
|
In the Uncle Remus version of the story, Br'er Fox
and Br'er Bush would be implored by poor old Br'er Daschle and Br'er
Gephardt to "Please don't throw us in the amnesty patch! No, not the
amnesty patch!"
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|
No
Surrender, No Compromise, Just Victory
|
VDARE.com
|
8/14/01
|
|
The Fox-Bush amnesty plan means that the
immigration issue is finally back on the table. Sure, the risk of disaster
is now much greater. Yet, if the new proposals are defeated, then the
political psychology will radically change. And that will make rational
reform finally possible.
|
|
Sullivan's
Travails
|
VDARE.com
|
8/10/01
|
|
Andrew Sullivan began shooting himself up with
prescription testosterone about three years ago. Injecting the manly
molecule transformed him from an underachiever, dragged down by his battle
against his HIV infection, into just about the biggest ball of fire in the
opinion industry.
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The
Innumeracy of Bush's Mexican Strategy
|
VDARE.com
|
7/20/01
|
|
These kinds of electoral calculations do not require
a Ph.D. in Mathematics. You just go look up the exit
poll results and mess around with them. So, why does it sometimes seem
like I'm the only Republican in America with Microsoft Excel? I can
guarantee you, though, lots of Democrats understand these numbers.
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A
Major Review of Michael Barone's The New Americans
|
VDARE.com
|
6/22/01
|
|
John Derbyshire, columnist for National Review
Online, commented on this long essay: "Every once in a while I read
something that makes me feel I ought to give up commentary altogether.
This was one such. Why isn't Steve Sailer nationally famous? Rhetorical
question--I know, I know..."
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Multicultural
Conservatism |