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other commentaries, go to: April 2004 Mar 2004 Feb 2004 Jan 2004 Dec 2003 Nov 2003 Oct 2003 Sep 2003 Aug 2003 Jul 2003 Jun 2003 May 2003 Apr 2003 Mar 2003 Feb 2003 Jan 2003 Dec 2002 Nov 2002 Oct 2002 Sep 2002 Aug 2002 July 2002 May-Jun 2002 Mar-Apr 2002 Jan-Feb 2002 Dec 2001
April 2004
The Da Vinci Code vs. reality: Regarding the popular claim that women had it better under paganism ... the Blowhards pointed me toward this interview with Rodney Stark, an agnostic who is a historian at the U. of Washington:
Q. You seem to argue that Christianity was an overwhelmingly good social force for women.\
RS: It was! Christian women had tremendous advantages compared to the woman next door, who was like them in every way except that she was a pagan. First, when did you get married? Most pagan girls were married off around age 11, before puberty, and they had nothing to say about it, and they got married to some 35-year-old guy. Christian women had plenty of say in the matter and tended to marry around age 18.
Abortion was a huge killer of women in this period, but Christian women were spared that. And infanticide—pagans killed little girls left and right. We’ve unearthed sewers clogged with the bones of newborn girls. But Christians prohibited this. Consequently, the sex ratio changed and Christians didn’t have the enormous shortage of women that plagued the rest of the empire.
I wasn't aware that the sex ratio was tipped toward more males in classical times due to infanticide of girl babies. If so, that could explain the popularity of male homosexual behavior in Greece and Rome. The only country in the world today with a lot more men than women is Afghanistan. Perhaps as a consequence, the Afghan Pashtuns are notorious buggers. ***
Edward Gibbon on the Dangers of Guest Worker Programs:
"The conduct which the emperor Probus had adopted in the disposal of the vanquished was imitated by Diocletian and his associates. The captive barbarians, exchanging death for slavery, were distributed among the provincials and assigned to those districts (in Gaul the territories of Amiens, Beauvais, Cambray, Treves, Langres, and Troyes are particularly specified) which had been depopulated by the calamities of war. They were usefully employed as shepherds and husbandmen but were denied the exercise of arms, except when it was found expedient to enroll them in the military service. Nor did the emperors refuse the property of lands with a less servile tenure to such of the barbarians as solicited the protection of Rome. They granted a settlement to several colonies of the Carpi, the Basternae, and the Sarmatians, and by a dangerous indulgence permitted them in some measure to retain their national manners and independence. Among the provincials it was a subject of flattering exaltation that the barbarian, so lately an object of terror, now cultivated their lands, drove their cattle to the neighboring fair, and contributed to his labor to the public plenty. They congratulated their masters on the powerful accession of subjects and soldiers; but they forgot to observe that secret enemies , insolent from favor or desperate from oppression, were introduced into the heart of the empire." ***
Gibbon on Why Bush Should Read Newspapers: President Bush famously remarked that he only glances at newspapers because they are biased, unlike his aides, who tell him all he needs to know. The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire quotes the Emperor Diocletian:
"How often," was he accustomed to say, "is it the interest of four or five ministers to combine together to deceive their sovereign! Secluded from mankind by his exalted dignity, the truth is concealed from his knowledge; he can see only with their eyes, he hears nothing but their misrepresentations. He confers the most important offices upon vice and weakness, and disgraces the most virtuous and deserving among his subjects. By such infamous arts," added Diocletian, "the best and wisest princes are sold to the venal corruption of their courtiers." ***
Bobby Jones: Stroke of Genius -- My review will be in the May 24th issue of The American Conservative, which should be on newsstands a few days from now.
It's a limited budget film that might well bore nongolfers -- since with golf, you either get it or you don't -- but the fury of the critics toward it is pretty amusing. Obviously, much of it reflects their anger at Jim Caviezel, who plays the 1920s Georgia amateur, for starring in The Passion, but the main public complaint is that the movie is "reverential" and "hagiographic" in portraying Jones as a prince among men. Why does the movie cover up his dark side? What none of the reviewers seem to know is that Jones during his life was universally acknowledged to be a secular saint. T
During his 95-year lifespan, the late Alistair Cooke met countless prominent people. Yet Cooke called Jones "one of the three or four finest human beings I've ever known… A whole team of investigative reporters, working in shifts like coal miners, would find that in all of Jones's life ... he nothing common did or mean… Bob Jones radiated goodness, yet without a smidgen of piety."
That big time American golf hasn't yet succumbed like tennis to the crappiness of the modern age (have you ever seen a pro golfer screaming at an official?) is largely a tribute to the example Bobby Jones set. ***
Iraqi restaurants, coming to a neighborhood near you! As the likelihood grows that someday we'll have to airlift out Iraqis who collaborated with us, we can look forward to a profusion of Iraqi restaurants across America. I hope Iraqi cuisine is tasty, because that may be the only thing we'll get out of our adventure. Of course, the neocons may eventually wonder why they were so enthusiastic for a war that ended up bringing lots of anti-Semites to the U.S. ***
How to unify Iraq -- Get the Sunnis and Shi'ites to unite in an Arab campaign to crush the Kurds. You could get the Turks and Syrians to help. ***
Lawrence Lessig's free book: The darling of libertarian bloggers, the anti-intellectual property law professor Lawrence Lessig has written a book "Free Culture: How Big Media Uses Technology and the Law to Lock Down Culture and Control Creativity," which he's giving away free on the Internet. This would seem like a more principled stance if Lessig wasn't a highly paid tenured law professor at Stanford who makes hundreds of dollars an hour practicing law on the side, a job for which writing his books serve as advertising.
As a pixel-stained wretch who would like to someday make at least a lower-middle class living writing books for pay, I say, "Forget you, Larry. I want every penny that's coming to me, my kids, grandkids, great-grandkids and on, unto the 7th generation."
It makes no sense that web libertarians are for cutting down intellectual property rights. Libertarians are supposed to be for property rights. The reason Lessig's obsession is so popular with web libertarians is because they are greedy people who want something for nothing.
Here's a proposal for Lessig to back: Let's eliminate the copyright on pornography. It's about Day 10 of the pornography industry's HIV shutdown out here in the San Fernando Valley, yet the world is not suffering from any shortage of new pornography. That's because there's plenty of old stuff to go around forever.
The shutdown of the porn business is a good thing. Let's eliminate the copyright on any new pornography so vendors would have less incentive to make new stuff. ***
Innovation in Penology:
A short-staffed prison in Mexico has hired 42 of its most fearsome inmates to act as guards. The convicts-turned-wardens will each be paid between £20 and £100 a month. They will help the real guards keep control in the overcrowded prison at Tepic. According to Mexican newspaper Reforma, the prisoners chosen were those who instilled the most fear in their fellow inmates.
UPDATE: Well, it's not really such an innovation after all. It's called the trusty system and it's been around forever. ***
How to achieve one man - one vote democracy in Iraq in two easy steps: Kill everybody except one man. Hold an election. ***
The Passion v. The Da Vinci Code: It's fascinating to compare the media's frenzied anger and niggling criticisms directed at The Passion compared to its pandering to Dan Brown's bestselling potboiler about how a Harvard professor of symbology (say what?) discovers that Jesus was really married to Mary Magdalene and didn't get crucified but instead went off to France (?) to have a passel of kids, leading to the Catholic Church's vast, murderous 2000 year old conspiracy to keep the truth censored and thus keep on keeping down women and paganism.
There's a lot of grist for anybody's mill there, but I want to discuss the book's notion that the Catholic Church was intensely hostile to women and all remnants of paganism. But compared to what? What other monotheistic religion honored hundreds of women as saints? Made the Virgin Mary the second most revered person of all? What other religion made women writers like St. Theresa of Avila and St. Catherine of Siena part of the canon of religious literature? What other religion encouraged women to found and run giant hospitals? Protestantism? Judaism? Islam?
And hostility to paganism -- that's what the Protestants, Jews, and Muslims complained about ... that Catholicism wasn't hostile enough towards paganism. It's hardly a surprise that the Renaissance started in Catholic Italy. Or that the Reformation was a reaction to the High Renaissance in Rome. Here's a minor modern example: my younger son's otherwise perfectly sane Lutheran school refuses to hold a Halloween party because that's too pagan, so it holds a "Harvest Festival." To a Halloween-loving Catholic like me, that sounds like nuts, but it makes perfect sense to Lutherans. ***
Chile ostracized for being "dull but virtuous" -- The NYT reports:
In sharp contrast to Argentina, Bolivia and Peru, not to mention the rest of South America, Chile these days looks "dull but virtuous," to borrow the title of a recent report by one Wall Street brokerage house. This is a country where most people actually pay their taxes, laws are rigidly enforced and the police only rarely seek bribes. That is unusual for Latin America and probably should be cause for celebration. Yet, it has the rest of the region looking at Chile as if there is something wrong with it because it is not what the Brazilians call "bagunça" or what the Argentines call "quilombo" - passionately messy, turbulent and chaotic... Today, Chile is a hypercapitalist state at a time when Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, Ecuador and Uruguay are all moving leftward and questioning free trade and open markets.
One thing to keep in mind is that Chile was democratic for 40 years before Marxist Salvador Allende came to power in 1970. He lucked into office, winning 38% in a three way vote. Two years later, with his opponents trying to win two thirds of the parliamentarians so they could impeach and convict him, he held on by taking 43% of the vote. So, bad luck played a sizable role in Allende coming to power. He certainly never had a mandate to flush Chile's economy down the toilet during a boom era (Allende fell a month before the Arab Oil Embargo began.)
My impression is that the racial divide is much less of a problem in Chile than in nearby Peru and Bolivia. Most Chileans appear to be mostly white with a little Indian mixed in, so the social structure is not as caste-like as in the Altiplano countries, where in the highlands, most white women are unable to bring a baby to full term due to lack of oxygen. This means that large areas are populated primarily by Indians. Of course, Argentina has an almost all-white population, and it's a mess too.
UPDATE: A reader writes:
"Dull but virtuous?" Ah, the NYT and other major media have at least found a way to grudgingly ease into the acknowledgment of what everyone with a brain has known for years, that Pinochet's legacy, modern Chile, has been, by far, the least screwed up country south of the Rio Grande. Yes, the ethnic mixture of Chile helps, but it should have helped Argentina as well. But Argentina was 'cursed,' so to speak, with abundant resources per capita, which bred a political system based on competitive looting of the country's vast wealth. Skinny, mountainous Chile is land-poor and mineral-poor, so it has to work for a living.
One interesting indicator: LanChile is the only functional airline in Latin America, in some ways superior to America's major airlines. It provides safe, on-time service in clean planes and makes a normal return on investment. In the US, if an airline CEO tries to do that, the pilots hit the eject button, as they have recently done at American, United, Delta, Continental and US Airways. In Latin America, the penalties for effective airline management can be worse. Federico Bloch tried to run Central America's TACA Group of airlines as competitive businesses and had been making noises recently about escaping the excessive controls and forced bribes imposed by Latin governments on his airlines. Monday morning, on his way to work, Bloch was gunned into eternity. ***
Loyalty Oath to Affirmative Action required of applicants to UCLA Medical school! A reader sent me the following that he had to sign to apply to UCLA Med:
We, the faculty and students of the UCLA School of Medicine, in the spirit of understanding and unity, believe that a diverse student body is an integral part of our medical education and our development as compassionate caregivers. We acknowledge the history of diversity at our institution and understand the responsibilities we must assume in becoming members of the School of Medicine.
Foremost is the fostering of an environment where ideas can be freely exchanged without fear of judgment or persecution.
[Hmmmhmmmh ... It sounds like the one idea that can't be freely exchanged without fear of judgment or persecution is the idea that a diverse student body is NOT an integral part of your medical education. Also, what the heck is this "without fear of judgment" doing in a medical school? If I stand up in class and answer that the hip bone is connected to the funny bone, nobody is supposed to judge me?]
We accept the charge to learn from our peers about the variety of backgrounds we represent, as well as embrace the opportunity to share our beliefs and values with one another. We agree to maintain the highest degree of decorum and professionalism while discussing our commonalities and differences. By adopting this philosophy towards our diversity, we hope to ensure our development as culturally competent physicians who will ably serve the variety of patients entrusted to our care.
[The notion that you'd become "culturally competent" by hanging around with upper middle class black and Hispanic med students is awfully lame.]
Adopted May 1997 by the UCLA Medical Student Council Adopted November 1997 by the UCLA School of Medicine Faculty Executive Committee
[Why was this passed in 1997? Presumably to intimidate potential whistle-blowers who might raise a stink about UCLA violating Proposition 209, which the voters of California passed in November 1996.] ***
Good News: Here's an update to my article in the May 10th American Conservative, now on newsstands. The LA Times reports:
A visiting psychology professor at Claremont McKenna College was formally charged by prosecutors Monday in connection with an alleged hate-crime hoax that had triggered antiracism protests and a one-day shutdown of the Claremont Colleges in March. The Los Angeles County district attorney's office charged Kerri Dunn, 39, with one misdemeanor count of filing a false police report and two felony counts of insurance fraud.
Prosecutors alleged Dunn had falsely reported that an unknown vandal spray-painted her car with racist and anti-Semitic slurs on March 9, while she attended a campus forum on racism. Officials also said Dunn submitted a false insurance claim, never paid, for items supposedly taken from her 1990 Honda Civic and for damage to the car, which had its windows smashed and tires slashed. Dunn is scheduled to surrender to authorities at Los Angeles County Superior Court in Pomona on May 19, the date of her arraignment. ***
The Wisdom of the People: A poll of 1311 Americans by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the U. of Maryland found:
Among the 57 percent of respondents who said they believed Iraq was either ''directly involved'' in carrying out the 9/11 attacks on New York and the Pentagon or had provided ''substantial support'' to al-Qaeda, 57 percent said they intended to vote for Bush and 39 percent said they would choose his Democratic foe, John Kerry...
Virtually all independent experts and even senior administration officials have concluded since the war that ties between Iraq and al-Qaeda before the war were virtually non-existent, and even Bush himself has explicitly dismissed the notion that Baghdad had a hand in the 9/11 attacks. Yet the March poll found that 20 percent of respondents believe that Iraq was directly involved in the attacks -- the same percentage as on the eve of the war, in February 2003.
Similarly, the percentages of those who believe Iraq provided ''substantial support'' to al-Qaeda (37 percent) and those who believe contacts were minimal (29 percent) are also virtually unchanged from 13 months before. As of March 2004, 11 percent said there was ''no connection at all'', up four percent from February 2003.
Some -- but surprisingly little -- change was found in answers to whether Washington had found concrete evidence since the war that substantiated a Hussein-al-Qaeda link. Thus, in June 2003, 52 percent of respondents said evidence had been found, while only 45 percent said so last month.
As to WMD, about which there has been significantly more media coverage, 60 percent of respondents said Iraq either had actual WMD (38 percent) or had a major programme for developing them (22 percent). In contrast, 39 percent said Baghdad had limited WMD-related activities that fell short of an active programme -- what Kay as the CIA's main weapons inspector concluded in February -- or no activities at all.
Moreover, the message conveyed by Kay and other experts appears not to be getting through to the public, adds the survey, which found a whopping 82 percent of respondents saying either, ''experts mostly agree Iraq was providing substantial support to al-Qaeda'' (47 percent) or, ''experts are evenly divided on the question'' (35 percent).
I'm still waiting for the poll that will find out what % of the public believes that Iraq seized all those American hostages at the U.S. Embassy back in 1979. I'm betting it's 40%. ***
The Wisdom of Steve: C'mon, admit it -- Just like me, you also assumed, deep down, that either you caught whooping cough from whooping cranes, or that whooping cranes were going extinct from whooping cough. Or, in my case, both. ***
New VDARE.com column at left... ***
Fallujah and Najaf -- We're still dithering over the military dilemma I outlined a couple of years ago in my review of Black Hawk Down: go in light with infantry and take a lot of casualties (like we did in Mogadishu in 1993) vs. go in heavy with tanks and bulldozers and inflict a lot of collateral casualties on civilians vs. don't go in at all? It's a tough call. ***
Kill Bill, Vol. 2 tanks in 2nd weekend -- Bizarrely rapturous reviews propelled Quentin Tarantino's so-so tribute to himself to #1 last weekend, but word-of-mouth hammered it in its second weekend, causing it to drop an ugly 59% in its second weekend (according to initial estimates). In comparison, The Passion dropped 37% from weekend 1 to weekend 2. ***
Blacks can't swim as well as other races -- At least not according to the North Miami police department, which dropped its swimming requirement so it could recruit more black officers -- at the request of black politicians. The CNN article points out that there is quite a lot of evidence that fewer blacks are good swimmers. This is usually blamed on lack of swimming pools, but the same pattern shows up in places like the South Carolina tidewater. A friend down there says he went swimming every day in summer as a lad, but never in a pool until he was 16. All the white boys went swimming in the estuaries, but the black lads stayed on the shore and fished.
The most likely explanation is that black youths in good condition tend to sink rather than float, due to lower average body fat percentage and denser bones (that's why blacks suffer less from osteoporosis). You can swim fine even if you can't float, but learning to swim is much scarier, so a lot of blacks don't ever learn.
A friend in Milwaukee says that the dominant American Red Cross method of teaching swimming is deeply flawed, especially for blacks. He has had a lot of success teaching low body fat percentage black youths to swim using the more reassuring "Norwegian Polar Bear" method. (Unfortunately, I can't find any links explaining this technique.)
But this illustrates a more general point. We are not supposed to talk about genetic differences between the races on the grounds that nothing can be done about them. But the reality is that less can be done to ameliorate any problems they cause if we don't talk about them. We can find lots of workarounds to problems like the one that blacks face in learning to swim ... if we are allowed to put our brains together. But the current regime of polite censorship makes that very difficult.
UPDATE: A reader writes:
Hey, black guys don't float as well as Wonder Bread white trash? I think we learned that at Parris Island in 1967. There was a miserable skill we all had to learn over three days called 'drownproofing.' Basically, it was a technique for staying afloat in the middle of an ocean for a day or two, without a life jacket, in case your ship went down and rescue was not too swift. Of course, there was very little chance of this actually happening by the late 1960s, but it was an opportunity to inflict panic and agony, which the Marine Corps never passed up.
The technique relied on 1) completely suppressing the normal human instinct to keep at least the nose above the water line through an energetic dog-paddle and 2) absolutely obeying the instructions to execute a very slow set of rhythmic motions that elevated the nose above water about once per minute, perfectly fine for breathing.
I hated it and had a lot of difficulty doing it at first, even though I had swum for more than a decade in neighborhood pools. Many of the black recruits had never learned to swim in their lives, living in cities or towns with no natural or artificial water. In addition, the DIs explained up front, a lot of blacks were just not as naturally buoyant as their flaccid, pale brethren.
Nonetheless, we would all learn to drownproof, the same way, over the same three days. Easy or hard, it would be done. The DIs knew there is a simple technique for overcoming the natural human fear of being asphyxiated to death and sinking like a rock. Provide a greater fear. Whenever anyone, white or black, started to get desperate, flail around and make for the edge of the pool, the DIs would be standing there with big, long poles, pushing them back toward the center of the deep pool. Another DI would stand nearby, miming the correct motions for staying afloat and screaming, "Do It," plus a lot of attention-getting obscenities. Eventually, everybody got it right, often after a lot of agony. So all objectives were accomplished.
This raises another paradox: in a more liberal culture, such as America today, the cultural differences between the races are likely to be greater than in an authoritarian culture like the Marine Corps. Being screamed at by drill Instructors gets blacks to overcome their fear of sinking better than, say, watching Oprah. ***
Earth Day -- As Greg Easterbrook has tirelessly pointed out, almost all polluting chemicals (except greenhouse gases) are in decline in the U.S., so much of what environmentalists holler about is now Chicken Littleism. Of course, the reason pollution has declined so much is because of a massive web of government regulations. So, conservatives who use the decline in pollution to argue against pollution regulations don't have a leg to stand on.
What Easterbrook overlooks, however, is that when people complain about the environment going to hell, they are usually talking about more than chemicals. Typically, they are talking about increased crowding.
If you want to get a sense of how ultra-environmentalist Northern California uses environmental regulations to keep out hoi polloi, check out a new housing development called The Santa Lucia Preserve. After battles with the California Coastal Commission and other Regulators from Hell, the developers wound up being allowed only 300 homesites on 31 square miles (20,000 acres!) of some of the finest land in the world, hidden between Carmel Valley and Big Sur. That's one house per 67 acres. By law, 90% of the land will remain undeveloped forever. Homesites start at $900,000 and run up to $4.5 million for this view of the Tom Fazio golf course. Your house is extra. ***
NASCAR's secret: Why is watching Chevy Luminas go around in an oval so incredibly popular? I think the answer is staring us all in the face: because white American guys (and American companies) always win. Heck, the drivers are almost all British-Americans with a sprinkling of German-Americans like the Earnhardts. (I looked at one list of NASCAR champs and only one had a name that ended with a vowel).
Stock car racing would make a great Chauvinistic Feminist women's sport at the next Olympics. You know how the American public goes ape over some women's team every couple of years -- like softball at the 1996 Olympics or hockey at the 1998 Winter Olympics or soccer at the 1999 World Cup? Our gals always crush a few teams full of midgets and cripples in the opening rounds, then eke out the gold medal in the final over the only other country in the world (always either Norway, China, or Canada) whose women are at all interested in the game. (And then we lose all interest whatsoever when our poor women come back in four years). Well, folks, we're running out of sports where American gals would be assured of gold, so after we act on my suggestion and add women's football to the Olympics (allowing us to enjoy such heartwarming moments as hearing the announcer say: "Final Score: USA 77 - Thailand 0"), it'll be time to go to the limit and make Women's NASCAR an official Olympic event. USA! USA! USA! ***
Our new pal in Iraq -- Lakhdar Brahimi, the UN envoy whose plan for remaking the Iraqi government is getting respectful interest from just about everybody, has an interesting past. Back in the mid-1950s, he was a diplomatic representative of the FLN, the National Liberation Front of the Algerian rebels during their ferocious eight year long war of independence with the French (1954-1962). I'm sure Brahimi's a great choice to help us out in the imperialism business. ***
South Africa, ten years later -- The funny thing about all the adulation directed at Nelson Mandela is that his greatest act of statesmanship is almost unknown. You may vaguely recall that the first open election in South Africa in 1994 was accompanied by huge lines at the polling booths and scenes of chaos at vote-counting centers. The media predicted it might take weeks to tabulate all the ballots. Then, almost instantly, the final, official results were announced, with no one objecting that that was logistically impossible.
Several years later, The Economist explained what happened: The vote counting was indeed chaotic and looked to go on indefinitely, but early returns conclusively showed Mandela's African National Congress winning a crushing victory that would give it the 2/3rd's majority needed to write the new constitution all by itself. So, Mandela called together the leaders of opposition parties and told them he was rigging the results to restrict his own party to about 5/8ths of the seats so that the new constitution would require some support from other parties to pass. He also gave local control of the Cape province to the white-led party and the KwaZulu province to the Zulu party. Not surprisingly, the opposition was deeply grateful and while many within the ANC were angry, they could hardly overrule Mandela.
The future of South Africa will probably resemble that of Zimbabwe, but the fact that destiny is still sort of in the future is a tribute to Mandela. ***
Two South African friends discuss crime: On the other hand, in the experience of a lot of white South Africans, the difference between Zimbabwe and South Africa is just that the Zimbabwean government is more honest about what it wants criminals to do to whites. Here's one South African's account of how life has become full of interest:
Since Christmas within the circles of friends and acquaintances we have had:
- From our bible study group: one man tried to save the life of his neighbour who was shot coming home from holiday -- he failed.
- People arrived at another person's door after their car was hijacked -- they were too frightened to let them in until they could check that they were genuine.
- My mother in laws car was stolen from just outside our house - it was only outside less than 15 minutes as she were waiting to leave.
- My wife and my neighbour were attacked as they were standing outside the gate chatting...they came after them with guns but fortunately my neighbour heard them and chased them off.
- My neighbour came home from a restaurant...his wife noticed a suspicious car...which then drove into my neighbour's property and tried to hijack them. A gun battle happened and the hijackers ran off---but my neighbour, although unhurt, came very close to being shot, as seen from where the bullet marks were.
- Then on Friday, when they were out, they broke into the house through 2 security gates and helped themselves ( to add insult to injury they seem to be using my mother in law's cars that they stole).
- Other friends were broken into in the middle of the night and had a 3 hour vigil where the robbers took everything they could lay there hands on -- fortunately they were not hurt and their daughters not raped....but the robbers still showed their contempt by urinating on their books and art work
The police are black, bored and disinterested..just there to take case numbers. *
Another South African replied:
The trouble with "security measures" is that they trigger an arms race between criminals and the general population. When enough people get car alarms and immobilizers/gearlocks/etc., the criminals escalate to carjacking. Likewise with burglar bars, home alarms, dogs from hell, and personal weaponry: then they will ambush you at stop lights, in your driveway, or by placing rocks in the road and nabbing you there. Even if you carry an Uzi, they will get you sooner or later. Satellite tracking services and secret codes only make things worse: they have to shoot you to stop you from reporting the car stolen, or they have to torture you to get the code.
The law of personal security is that a measure is only effective when your neighbours don't have it. Then they will be victimized instead of you. I once lived next to a "dominee" (vicar) who had no security measures of any kind. That set my mind at ease, since that made my own mild measures (6 foot fence, ridgebacks, ...) effective. Of course, your neighbours will rapidly catch up with you ...
This is why the standard police response all over the world to crime (hide your stuff, be careful) is self-serving claptrap. The only way to stop crime is to apprehend and eliminate the criminals. Security measures are, on a society-wide scale, totally ineffective. The state in South Africa lost the ability to catch and imprison criminals around about 1993. It is now bandit country on large parts of the highveld/Reef. The Cape is still OK for the most part, but the bandits will simply move there when John and his family equip themselves with anti-personnel mines and built-in flamethrowers in their car doors ***
NFL IQs -- It's always fun to look at the IQ scores of pro football draft prospects on the NFL's mandatory Wonderlic test. Here's the latest, converted from the 50 question Wonderlic scoring system where 20 right answers = 100 IQ and each additional right answer is worth 2 points (adapted from AOL -- not on the Web):
Kickers 118 Average -- 5 Prospects Centers 115 Average -- 21 Prospects Quarterbacks 111 Average -- 21 Prospects Offensive Guards 109 Average -- 21 Prospects Offensive Tackles 108 Average -- 20 Prospects Inside Linebackers 107 Average -- 9 Prospects Tight Ends 104 Average -- 19 Prospects Fullbacks 104 Average -- 7 Prospects Punters 103 Average -- 6 Prospects Running Backs 102 Average -- 23 Prospects Outside Linebackers 100 Average -- 29 Prospects Defensive Ends 99 Average -- 30 Prospects Defensive Tackles 99 Average -- 31 Prospects Wide Receivers 99 Average -- 50 Prospects Safeties 96 Average -- 25 Prospects Cornerbacks 95 Average -- 30 Prospects
These scores are about a half standard deviation (7.5 points) higher than other NFL Wonderlic scores I've seen in the past. My guess is that the players' agents have recently figured out how to "teach to the test," helping their clients score better on this fairly important measure of NFL potential. But, even with that exaggeration, there's not much evidence that college football players are dumb, except in comparison to the real students at the better sort of college like Michigan or USC. Football is a complicated game.
Centers typically score high because they are the "quarterbacks" of the offensive line. On each play, they analyze the defense and call audibles giving instructions to their fellow linemen -- see Mark "Black Hawk Down" Bowden's recent Atlantic article "A Beautiful Mind" for details. ***
Formula 1 vs. NASCAR -- A reader writes:
The most often noted difference between Formula 1 and NASCAR is the contrast between the European elitism of the former and the more down to earth American character of the latter. Most magazines and talkboards point to these differences: in NASCAR the cars are relatively equal and not too technologically complex; each driver/team has a relatively better chance of winning a race; fans get to meet the drivers; the drivers look like regular Joes, many of them overweight and balding; lots of dramatic crashes and wheel to wheel racing - the latter contrived due to a WWF-like caution flag system designed to make the racing artificially close; the cars resemble the ones we drive to Wal-Mart in, etc.
For these reasons most F1 fans see NASCAR fans as less serious about motorsports and often attracted more to the communal aspects of being a spectator than the sport itself. I tend to agree though as an anti-elitist Ulster-Scot with a feeling of kinship to the American South I reject the snobbish and bigoted views of so many F1 fans - North American as well as European - who sneer at "inbred Bud-swilling racist rednecks." Indeed a lot of North American F1 (and even Champ Car) fans seem to think they are more sophisticated than their fellow countrymen, especially if they follow NASCAR. Unfortunately this view was reinforced by the recent negative reaction from the NASCAR community to Toyota's, the first non-American manufacturer, plans to join the series. Such a seemingly xenophobic attitude stands in stark contrast to the internationalist enthusiasm of American F1 fans getting up early on a Sunday to watch foreign teams - even Ford's team is British - and foreign drivers racing mostly in Europe and Asia. That said, European F1 fans often lack such an internationalist spirit: many Italians see Ferrari as a nationalist symbol; and Germans are fanatical about Michael Schumacher while most British see him as the embodiment of everything they hate about Germans, many of them even cheering when he was carried off on a stretcher after his terrible crash at the 1999 British GP.
One rarely mentioned difference between the two series - though I personally wouldn't mention it to a group of Good Ole Boys - is the more feminine nature of NASCAR's appeal. In NASCAR the overwhelming emphasis is not on the cars or strategy but on the drivers with the personality factor looming large. NASCAR fans usually have a very strong attachment to a particular driver and want to get to know his personality and feel some connection to him. While men are not immune to this it is something that appeals more to women. Thinking back to when I lived in the UK I can't think of a single female I knew who had any interest whatsoever in Formula 1 yet something like half of NASCAR fans are female. I suspect the proportion of female fans for other major sports, except perhaps tennis, is significantly lower. It's illustrative that the only F1 driver to capture female attention in recent years was Eddie Irvine, a man better known for his Irish brogue and time spent with models on his yacht than his time behind the wheel.
Yes F1 fans care about the drivers and wish they had at least some personality - most sound like corporate spokesmen doing damage control - but for most of us a driver's nationality, skills, and behaviour on the track are of more importance than whether he's a nice approachable guy. Other things that are of great interest to most of us watching F1 - launch control, lap times, BMW versus Mercedes engines, Michelin versus Bridgestone tires, the French versus British teams, German versus British driver, and especially race strategy - just don't interest most women. Perhaps F1 supremo Bernie Ecclestone's recent complaints about the lack of interesting personalities in F1 came after noticing NASCAR's huge female fan base. ***
Bush is ahead in 3 of 5 polls taken since April 12 -- Partly this reflects the fact that the main thing Kerry had going for him was that he kept winning primaries, and thus he seemed like a winner. Unfortunately for Kerry, the primary season was so frontloaded that he hasn't won anything lately, so he doesn't seem like a winner anymore, so now everybody's wondering what was so great about the guy anyway.
But, it also reflects the kind of bounce a President gets when he screws up really badly in his foreign policy and the country rallies around him because, while he may be a moron, he's our moron, dammit. JFK's approval rating went up after the Bay of Pigs. That's how Jimmy Carter beat off Ted Kennedy in the horrible spring of 1980. The problem for Carter was that his reflexive support from the public peaked too soon and by the general election, the country was heartily sick of him.
Politically, Bush gives the impression that he's a dead man walking. The fraction of the population that actually pays attention to public events is deciding that Bush isn't cut out for the job, that he's a detriment to America. That realization is likely to trickle through to the rest of the electorate over the next half year. Of course, he only has to beat Kerry, so there is some hope for him.
Still, I hope that the President does the right thing by his country and party, that he takes the courageous and self-sacrificial step that his father failed to do in 1992 when it became clear Bush Sr. was too old and tired to handle another term: retire. If Bush Jr. walked away now and let the GOP choose a candidate (Bill Frist, I would guess), I think the GOP could hold the White House in November and probably in 2008. Bush might still eke out a win over Kerry, but four more years of this incompetent would likely turn the country over to Hillary in 2008. ***
War Nerd has a new column on Iraq. ***
Whom should Bush fire?" Noah Millman reviews the cases for dumping Powell, Rice, Tenet, Rumsfeld, and Cheney and makes his pick, here. *
A reader draws an important distinction between Bush and Reagan:
It's interesting to me that people always talk about whom Bush should fire rather than the easier thing: fire Bush. Even Don Imus, who is supporting Kerry, gives Bush a break and says that Rumsfeld, Cheney, et al should be fired, that the President is a decent, honest man served badly by his team.
I sense a strong Reagan-element going on here with Bush -- because, like Reagan, they assume he's too dumb to actually think of policy, they don't hold him accountable for that policy. Plus, people like Bush as a person (except for the core Bush is Hitler group on the left).
But what's interesting is that appears that while Reagan's and Bush's Teflon-ness rests on character and honesty and just plan "likeable", their weaknesses appear to be of a different character. Specifically, Bush lacks curiosity, knowledge and discipline. His strength is with managing all the pieces that feed him that info. Reagan, on the other hand, appears to have been much more knowledgeable about his "key" subjects: namely, taxation and the fight against communism. Reagan's weaknesses appear to have arisen because of inattention, aloofness, or not being enough on the ball organizationally [SES adds: also, being old and getting shot]. So while Bush runs a tight, loyal ship, he depends on others for info. Reagan had deep knowledge of his areas of focus (despite his intellectual credentials, his letters, radio "writings" and other sources convince me he read voraciously and thought a great deal about the Soviet question and taxation), but was a hands-off manager that allowed others to free-lance and get him in trouble. ***
Attention, racing fans! I'm working on something that involves the contrast between NASCAR and Formula 1. What would European F1 fans find baffling about NASCAR and what would NASCAR fans find amusing about F1 fans? ***
Anybody know Kerry's SAT scores? I'd like to recycle my ever popular "How smart are the candidates?" article for 2004. Has anybody heard any SAT, IQ, ACT, GRE etc scores for Sen. John F. Kerry? ***
Out of Africa in 8 convenient maps -- Friedrich von Blowhard converts Spencer Wells' population genetics history book "The Journey of Man: A Genetic History" into eight simple maps. A very helpful summarization. ***
Intellectual Property -- An awful lot of bloggers write at vast length, criticizing intellectual property laws as too restrictive. I don't have any expertise in this area, but here are two comments:
- Copyright lengths were recently extended dramatically, in large part to protect Disney's hold on Mickey Mouse. But the law should be able to distinguish between Mickey Mouse -- a concept into which Disney has continually invested many millions over the years right up to the present -- and more common creative products into which no investments have been made since they were first published. Thus, the law should distinguish between constantly evolving products like Mickey Mouse and static ones of the same vintage like Hemingway's A Farewell to Arms. It is reasonable that Disney maintain control over Mickey Mouse while Mariel Hemingway could stop receiving checks from Grand-Papa's novel.
- All the fuss in the blogworld over evil corporations extending copyrights seems like a case of the guns of Singapore facing in the wrong direction. From a strategic standpoint, the really big intellectual property problem is that the Chinese are stealing us blind by counterfeiting everything we own a profitable patent upon, yet this vastly more important issue than Mickey Mouse gets little attention.
UPDATES: Reader write:
I fail to understand the "libertarian" opposition to intellectual property (IP) rights as they are a form of property rights and I was under the mistaken impression that "libertarians" supported property rights. IP rights have grown in importance as "knowledge" and "know how" have become more valuable than hard assets. You are exactly correct that China and other "developing" nations are stealing the United States (and Europe) blind when it comes to IP rights. Would the libertarians view the theft of someone's physical assets with such approval? Creativity remains one of the areas where the USA and Europe maintain an advantage against cheap labor developing nations. In this case, upholding the rule of law makes sense both from a principled and self-interested viewpoint. After all, there is no such thing as a free lunch and if the dilution of IP rights continues we could see a reduction in the creativity that libertarians claim to admire. *
I believe IP laws should not provide any sort of protections for a period greater than about 20 years for any product. Modifications are no different than creations and should not be protected any differently. Just because an IP owner has created or acquired the rights to a product, why should that owner be able to effectively extend the period of protection by making a possibly trivial modification? So, rights on the modification are OK, but rights should not be extended on the modified.
I believe there are too many losses to society by restricting the ability to others to make use of what are effectively natural developments that others would have similarly produced. ***
If your stomach is strong, check out www.AwfulPlasticSurgery.com for pictures of how even celebrities can turn out bad under the knife. ***
Six-speed transmissions -- One prerequisite for good gas mileage at the higher speeds that Americans ought to be allowed to drive is a six-speed automatic transmission, so you can be in the optimal gear while driving 100+ mph. Good news: Ford and GM are teaming up to develop one to share between them. ***
My 68 Amazon book reviews -- If you can't get enough of me, here are the 68 book reviews I've posted on Amazon. ***
White Bread -- One of the most common racial epithets that white liberals use to denigrate other whites in their never-ending quest for status is "white bread." The funny thing about the "white bread" epithet is that it's black ghetto dwellers who are the biggest consumers of white bread these days. I went into a supermarket near the corner of Florence & Normandie where the 1992 LA Riot broke out, and, sure enough, practically all the varieties of bread on sale were white. ***
Dog Bites Man! -- Kenyans win both men's and women's division of the Boston Marathon. Kenyan Men have won 13 of 14 Boston Marathons. The only time they didn't was the year VDARE.com ran Jon Entine's article on why Kenyans win. The funny thing is that the marathon is not the Kenyan's best distance -- the 3000 meters is. ***
New VDARE.com column at left...
Responses to it: "I've long noticed that liberals are often operationally conservative in some ways or at least elitist. They live in places, such as Evanston, that are full of historical preservation, they listen to the local classical music radio station, attend the symphony and opera. In short, I find I have more in common culturally with liberals than conservatives. Part of this is due to the populist and rural base of conservatism but there is more to it than that I think. One writer characterized liberals as "talking left and living right." And I don't think its just liberal guilt as I've never noticed that these people feel guilty about much of anything."
I don't believe in "white liberal guilt" either, except perhaps in the case of the occasional older white Southerner. It just seems like white liberals want to be seen as morally and culturally superior to white hoi polloi on racial issues as a form of status competition. *
That's a fascinating analysis. I was raised in the beautiful Monterey Bay Area, but have lived the last 20 years in the San Gabriel Valley, so I've lived both North and South. The Leftism of the North always bothered me, but as you say, that has resulted in a more pleasant environment for the real American. Meanwhile the 'conservative', anything-goes South has turned into another Tijuana or Mexico City. A man cannot live and eat ideology. I'll take the relatively pristine, elitist, leftist N. Cal, over the 3rd-world SoCal. I'm rightwing, but someday I hope to live in N. Cal again.
(In the North, the exceptions to this rule are the agricultural areas where labor-intensive strawberries are grown. In such areas, high-density slum Mexican housing is needed, to house all the strawberry pickers).
Indeed, in the 1990s, hundreds of strawberry-pickers in the Salinas area were discovered living in caves. ***
Question: Why is Israel always referred to as "America's ally?" I certainly understand why America is called "Israel's ally" -- the President endorsing Mr. Sharon at the precise moment when we are trying to convince Iraqis to calm down, trust us, and stop killing our boys is a definite example of America sacrificing its interests for Israel. (This is not to say I'm against Sharon's Plan -- it seems fairly reasonable -- but from America's point of view, the timing of Bush's endorsement, as Mickey Kaus has noted, is awful.)
But has Israel ever made any significant material sacrifice of its own interests to help us out, such as sending troops to fight in Korea or Vietnam? I'm sure Israel has helped us out with some intelligence work, but has it ever been at a sacrifice to themselves? I don't expect Israel to sacrifice for us -- until the last 25 years they had a very, very narrow margin of safety, and even since Camp David it hasn't been all that sizable. I certainly don't hold it against them that they don't do much for us.
But maybe they made some real sacrifices for us that I'm not aware of. If so, please let me know and I'll print them.
Otherwise, I'm going to assume that this is just an example of the wisdom of Ben Franklin's adage that to get somebody to like you, get them to do you a favor.
UPDATE: A reader responds:
Well, there's a lot of intelligence sharing, as you note. And during the Cold War, they were an ally in that they were lined up mostly against states that were allied with the Soviet Union. (And those states mostly went into the Soviet orbit during a period of marked coolness between the U.S. and Israel - the Eisenhower Administration.) Israel also ran a bunch of errands for the U.S. that we couldn't acknowledge during the Reagan Administration - stuff like running guns and money to the Contras. There are Israeli (and Saudi) fingerprints on various parts of Iran-Contra. That stuff didn't have any obvious direct benefits for Israel. Israel offered to help out in the recent Iraq war, but the offer was (for obvious reasons) declined. I'm not sure that if they offered to send troops anywhere (which would not be the most sensible thing for them to do - it's not like that have a huge manpower surplus) we'd agree to take them, for the obvious political reasons. ***
Sci-Fi novelist Orson Scott Card on gay "marriage:"
Supporters of homosexual "marriage" dismiss warnings like mine as the predictable ranting of people who hate progress. But the Massachusetts Supreme Court has made its decision without even a cursory attempt to ascertain the social costs. The judges have taken it on faith that it will do no harm. You can't add a runway to an airport in America without years of carefully researched environmental impact statements. But you can radically reorder the fundamental social unit of society without political process or serious research.
The Dutch have legalized gay "marriage" (although it doesn't seem terribly popular there). Why don't we wait one generation and see what happens over there? ***
LINKS FIXED: Frank K. Salter, the sociobiological political scientist, has a couple of important new academic books out. Here's the Amazon page for his Welfare, Ethnicity, and Altruism: New Findings and Evolutionary Theory. The other is the cheaper On Genetic Interests: Family, Ethny, and Humanity in an Age of Mass Migration, with a review by Hiram Caton ***
Islam and Polygamy: William Tucker, one of the writers who alerted me to the far-reaching importance of family structure back in the 1980s, writes in The American Spectator, that building a democracy in Iraq is a fool's errand due to polygamy:
Islamic cultures are different. Except for Turkey, the most fragilely Westernized Islamic nation, there has never been a successful democracy in the Moslem world. Islamic cultures haven't even achieved reproductive equality, which is something that Western society has had since the Greeks.
What is "reproductive equality"? It revolves around that core value of Western culture -- monogamy -- as opposed to that old "heathen" custom, polygamy.
Islam is the only major world religion that sanctions polygamy. Mohammad allowed his followers to have four wives (the same number he had). About 12 percent of marriages in Moslem countries are polygamous. This is not as bad as East and West Africa, where successful men often take more than a hundred wives and where almost 30 percent of marriages can be polygamous. But the solid core of polygamy at the heart of Islamic culture is enough to produce its menacing social effects.
What are those effects? Do the math. Into every society is born approximately the same number of boys and girls. If they pair off in monogamous fashion, then each one will have a mate -- "a girl for every boy and a boy for every girl." In polygamous societies this does not occur. When successful men can accumulate more than one wife, that means some other man gets none. As a result, the unavoidable outcome is a hard-core residue of unattached men who have little or no prospect of achieving a family life.
The inevitable outcome is that competition among males becomes much more fierce and intense. Mating is an all-or-nothing proposition. Women become a scarce resource that must be hoarded and veiled and banned from public places so they cannot drift away through spontaneous romances. Men who are denied access to these hoarded women have only one option -- they can band together and try to fight their way into the seats of power.
AND THAT IS WHAT happens, endlessly. The entire history of Islam is a story of superfluous males going off into the desert (literally or figuratively) and deciding that the religion being practiced by the well-furnished elites of the cities is "not the true Islam." They then burst back upon the cities, violently attempting to overthrow the established authority. The Shi'ites, the Wahabis, the Assassins (yes, that's the origin of the word), the Muslim Brotherhood -- all are the fruit of this eternal warfare in Moslem societies between the "ins" and the "outs."
The only defense Islam has been able to construct for itself is to recruit these unattached males, inculcate them into the religion, and convince them that if they turn their violence and sexual frustrations outward¸ they will be rewarded with "70 virgins in heaven." This is how the ranks of martyrs and suicide bombers are created. Martyrs and suicide bombers are men who have internalized the fundamental axiom of polygamous society -- that some men are expendable.
This can be overstated. After all the Palestinians aren't very polygamous at all. Yassir Arafat, for example, has one wife (and she's Christian). Still, this fundamental Arab conception that life isn't a struggle for freedom but for dominance is a major reason why the President just doesn't get Iraqis, and is constantly surprised by their ingratitude at his liberating them from Saddam. Polygamy definitely plays a role in this. As does it's side effect: buggery of weaker males. You can see why Arabs care so intensely about being the man on top -- it's an awful lot better than being the man on the bottom. ***
Speed limits as a wedge issue: A Texan Democrat reader writes that during the 1988 campaign, he came up with some policy suggestions to help the Democrats seem less like they hate Middle America. He got them to Sen. Lloyd Bentsen, then running for Veep:
"One of those things was to drop Federal control of speed limits. Bentsen liked it and brought it up to the Dukakis crowd and the New England liberals went ballistic. Puzzled the heck out of Bentsen, so he tabled that issue. I think that it would have done what I suggested -- it would have and made Dukakis seem a little less like Harold Wilson (just a little less), but what do I know? And it apparently upset Dukakis and his people a great deal."
I presume the latest Massachusetts liberal to run for President has learned from his predecessor's many mistakes, but giving the states speed limit freedom could well be a bridge too far for any Democratic nominee, making it a terrific issue for Bush. Obviously, it's not a huge issue, but look how Bill Clinton rode school uniforms to a second term back in 1996. Bush's dad did an excellent job of making clear to people who don't follow politics closely that Dukakis was way out in left field, and Bush Jr. needs to get to work emulating him. ***
Genocide, slavery, uncomfortableness: Colleges are convulsed these days by charges that somebody made somebody else feel "uncomfortable." For example, according to Tom Wood's invaluable Americans Against Discrimination and Preferences (AADAP.org) email list, the Georgetown Hoya student newspaper reported:
Georgetown’s Faculty Senate passed three resolutions yesterday that responded to recent allegations of racial intolerance in the university community. The Faculty Senate passed one resolution that called for diversity training at the New Faculty Orientation for tenured faculty and adjunct and visiting professors, an educational pamphlet about cultural sensitivity and the implementation of measures to allow students to discuss insensitivity at department meetings and to file a complaint with a department chair or dean.
Veronica Root (MSB ’05), president of the Black Student Alliance, addressed the faculty governing body about several incidents where students felt uncomfortable in the classroom. Root described some specific incidents, including one where her professor polled the class about ways to gain admission to Georgetown and one student replied that being a minority helped applicants, drawing laughter from the class and the professor. “This began to affect my learning environment, and really hasn’t been comfortable for me since then,” Root said....
The discussion throughout the meeting centered on methods to address remarks like the one Root highlighted about a joke made during a class. Ensuring that professors know how to appropriately respond to similar incidents in the future, Root said, would help reduce the belittlement she said she had suffered.
Tempers flared at one point when Mark Danielson, an associate professor of biochemistry and molecular biology at Georgetown University Medical School, suggested that the statement made in Root’s class raised a valid point about affirmative action in college admissions, and that the student could have also suggested that family legacy or wealth could also help gain admission. While Danielson said that it might have been out of line for students and the professor to laugh, he urged the Faculty Senate to consider that Georgetown does support affirmative action in admissions. But other faculty members disagreed with Danielson, including History Professor David Goldfrank. “That kind of racial slur is absolutely disgusting,” he said. “There’s something really wrong that no one in the classroom thought to speak up.”
In my new American Conservative article on the Claremont Hate Hoax (almost all new material!), which should be out on newsstands within a couple of days, I write:
"The university's main concern appears to be to make students feel "comfortable," a word that reappears constantly in Claremont publications despite the obvious hopelessness of the project. The only way to make 19-year-olds feel comfortable is to wait 30 years while they sag into their well-padded maturities. Right now, they are teenagers and their surging hormones have far more important emotions for them to feel than comfort. Adults, however, who make careers out of encouraging kids to mold permanently self-pitying identities around their transient social discomforts have much to answer for." ***
If you were watching the last episode of The Apprentice, you might have been wondering about one of the two dream jobs Donald Trump offered the winner: managing his new Trump National Golf Club in Southern California overlooking the Pacific. The Donald proclaimed that it would be better than Pebble Beach. Well, I played it before Trump bought it and unless Trump has bought off every environmental regulatory agency in the world, it won't ever be in Pebble's class. Still, it's an enjoyable course and a wonderful addition to the LA area. The story behind the course, including the 18th hole that fell into the Pacific and bankrupted the family that spent 30 years trying to build a golf course there, is fascinating and instructive one for what it says about the politics of environmentalism. I wrote it in 2001. ***
An issue that Bush could win with! Give Americans the freedom to drive as fast as Europeans. More specifically, allow big flat empty states to raise their speed limits to 90 without the National Highway Transportation Safety Agency suing them. ***
Porn film industry hit by HIV scare: That reminds me -- I have a question: Why does the world need new porn films? There must be 100,000 hours of pornography on film. Even the most pathetic addict couldn't watch it all in one lifetime. So why does the world need thousands of hours of new porn every year? Are the porn industry's crack R&D labs constantly inventing new sex acts? Or, as Elvis Costello claimed, is there no such thing as an original sin?
I understand that this is a supply driven market -- there are a lot of women out there who want to star in dirty movies. But, this is clearly not, generally speaking, a wise career choice. If the government shut down the making of new pornography, there'd still be plenty of old product for customers to buy, but there would be fewer women wrecking their lives.
After all, it's not unknown for an entertainment industry to go on for decades with virtually no new product -- 99% of all the classical music compositions bought this year will be from before 1970 or so. ***
Could Bush and/or Clinton have prevented 9/11? Well, sure, if they knew now what they knew then. But I think that's too high a standard to hold Presidents to. I think the standard for evaluating Presidential culpability for bad things should be whether or not I, Steve Sailer, knew about it ahead of time. For example, I knew that invading Iraq was asking for trouble. The last 12 months have proven to be a bigger surprise to the President, despite all his advisors and intelligence agencies, than to me. That's not good.
But, I definitely did not know that Osama's minions were going to knock down the WTC on 9/11. It was a complete surprise to me. I stayed up late the night before writing a book review of a Kurt Cobain biography.
Sure, I didn't get The Memo and Bush did, but nobody back then knew that it, out of the gazillion memos the federal government generates each year, was going to be The Memo.
What I did know was that Bush was taking a chance by trying to win Arab/Muslim votes by cutting back on two anti-terrorist policies: ethnic profiling at the airport and the use of secret evidence against terrorist suspects -- i.e., testimony by informers who would die if they appeared in court.
Ann Coulter writes: |