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August 2004 Archive

 

"Israel Has Long Spied on U.S., Say Officials" By Bob Drogin and Greg Miller -- The LA Times reports:

WASHINGTON — Despite its fervent denials, Israel secretly maintains a large and active intelligence-gathering operation in the United States that has long attempted to recruit U.S. officials as spies and to procure classified documents, U.S. government officials said.

FBI and other counterespionage agents, in turn, have covertly followed, bugged and videotaped Israeli diplomats, intelligence officers and others in Washington, New York and elsewhere, the officials said. The FBI routinely watches many diplomats assigned to America.

Officials said FBI surveillance of a senior Israeli diplomat, who was the subject of an FBI inquiry in 1997-98, played a role in the latest probe into possible Israeli spying. The bureau now is investigating whether a Pentagon analyst or pro-Israel lobbyists provided Israel with a highly classified draft policy document...

"There is a huge, aggressive, ongoing set of Israeli activities directed against the United States," said a former intelligence official who was familiar with the latest FBI probe and who recently left government. "Anybody who worked in counterintelligence in a professional capacity will tell you the Israelis are among the most aggressive and active countries targeting the United States."

The former official discounted repeated Israeli denials that the country exceeded acceptable limits to obtain information. "They undertake a wide range of technical operations and human operations," the former official said. "People here as liaison … aggressively pursue classified intelligence from people. The denials are laughable."

Current and former officials involved with Israel at the White House, CIA, State Department and in Congress had similar appraisals, although not all were as harsh in their assessments. A Bush administration official confirmed that Israel ran intelligence operations against the United States. "I don't know of any foreign government that doesn't do collection in Washington," he said.

Another U.S. official familiar with Israeli intelligence said that Israeli espionage efforts were more subtle than aggressive, and typically involved the use of intermediaries.

But a former senior intelligence official, who focused on Middle East issues, said Israel tried to recruit him as a spy in 1991. "I had an Israeli intelligence officer pitch me in Washington at the time of the first Gulf War," he said. "I said, 'No, go away,' and reported it to counterintelligence."

The U.S. officials all insisted on anonymity because classified material was involved and because of the political sensitivity of Israeli relations with Washington. Congress has shown little appetite for vigorous investigations of alleged Israeli spying. ...

Although never previously implicated in a potential espionage case, AIPAC has frequently been a subject of controversy. Its close ties to Israel and its aggressive advocacy of Israeli government positions has drawn criticism that it should be registered as an agent of a foreign country. Others, noting its ability to organize significant backing for or against candidates running for national office, have demanded that it be classified as a political action committee.

***

 

"Log Cabin Republicans" -- Apparently, the title of the organization for gay Republicans that was much in the news this week alludes to the charming belief, found among some homosexuals, that Abraham Lincoln used to get the log in his cabin back in his frontier days. Salon noted back in 1999.

 

"In 1995, just after Bob Dole rejected campaign contributions from the Log Cabin Republicans, a gay GOP group, Log Cabin member W. Scott Thompson was quoted in the New York Times as saying that gays should feel welcome in the party, "given that the founder was gay.""

 

AIDS activist Larry Kramer claimed in 1999 to have proof Lincoln was gay, but little has been heard from him about it since. 

 

For the record, Lincoln fathered four children. In the millions of words of denunciation of Lincoln written during his lifetime, none of his enemies alleged he was homosexual (a charge frequently hurled at the time at Lincoln's predecessor, James Buchanan, but for some reason gays aren't excited about claiming the passive and inept Buchanan).

 

It's fun to keep a list of some of the unlikely guys (e.g., Sandy Koufax, who has been married twice and currently lives with First Lady's college roommate) whom gays have claimed to be homosexual. My favorite example is that frequent victim of rumors, Met's catcher Mike Piazza. The slugger has lived with about ten different lingerie models over the last decade. I have actually heard the argument made, "Well, that just shows how hard he's working to cover up his being gay." I mean, why else would a man want to sleep with a lot of centerfolds? 

***

 

Bushllit -- Back in 1978, George W. Bush ran for Congress in West Texas and was beaten by an incumbent who cast scorn on the young preppie's fancy degrees from Yale and Harvard. Bush resolved never to be out-dumbed in a campaign again. 

 

I've never seen a politician make such artful use of a reputation for ignorance that he's worked so hard to achieve. Consider this little gem from his acceptance speech tonight:

 

"America has done this kind of work before and there have always been doubters. In 1946, 18 months after the fall of Berlin to allied forces, a journalist wrote in the New York Times, 'Germany is a land in an acute stage of economic, political and moral crisis. [European] capitals are frightened. In every [military] headquarters, one meets alarmed officials doing their utmost to deal with the consequences of the occupation policy that they admit has failed.' End quote."

 

Let me explain what Bush is doing because it's an impressive bit of rhetorical sleight-of-hand. He's trying to give the impression that the occupation of Germany after May 1945 was, like Iraq is today, similarly bedeviled by dozens of attacks per day on American troops, dozens of deaths per month (66 in August in Iraq, up from 48 in June before "sovereignty"), large sections of Germany where America had ceded control to rebels, and so forth. In the past, Rumsfeld and Rice have peddled the line that renegade Nazi officers called "Werewolves" put up an Iraq-style resistance to our occupation. And, hey, Germany turned out okay!

 

These claims were conclusively shot down. (In reality, the Germans loved being occupied by us, relatively speaking, because the alternative was being occupied by the Red Army, which was gang-raping the women of East Germany. So, the West Germans were very careful to make sure we didn't ever feel like chucking it all and going home.)

 

So, what Bush is doing ever so elegantly is calling upon the audience's vague memories of the lies spouted by Rumsfeld and Rice to give the impression that there was a persistent violent resistance in postwar Germany. Yet, Bush is not, technically, lying, because the President carefully avoids saying anything directly false. And of course, nobody expects the President to have any historical facts in his head at all, so nobody will think worse of the President's vaunted character for his misleading the public in this instance, because to blame Bush for trying to BS us implies that Mr. Bush knows what he's talking about, and of course, nobody thinks he does. 

 

Bush does this this kind of thing all the time, most notably while he was duping the country into supporting his Iraq Attaq. We all know the impression Bush gave of the danger Saddam posed, but it's hard to find specific quotes where he's directly lying. In contrast, Cheney, whom everybody thinks is much smarter than Bush, has been caught over and over again telling blatant whoppers. So, who's really the dummy?

 

It's truly an impressive ruse that Bush has perfected of pretending to be the brainless rube to avoid being blamed for all the subtle rhetorical flim-flam he puts over on us.

 

Nonetheless, not even Bush can come up with an explanation for the Iraq Attaq that doesn't simply radiate contempt for the listener's intelligence:

 

"In Saddam Hussein, we saw a threat. Members of both political parties, including my opponent and his running mate, saw the threat, and voted to authorize the use of force. We went to the United Nations Security Council, which passed a unanimous resolution demanding the dictator disarm, or face serious consequences. Leaders in the Middle East urged him to comply. After more than a decade of diplomacy, we gave Saddam Hussein another chance, a final chance, to meet his responsibilities to the civilized world. He again refused, and I faced the kind of decision that comes only to the Oval Office, a decision no president would ask for, but must be prepared to make. Do I forget the lessons of September 11th and take the word of a madman, or do I take action to defend our country? Faced with that choice, I will defend America every time."

 

Let's see:

 

-- Bush didn't ask for the decision to invade Iraq. Yeah, right. This was his decision all the way. Bush's decision to invade Iraq is about as clean cut an example of Free Will in action as I've ever seen.

 

-- Bush didn't make the decision to invade Iraq until the very end. Yeah, right. Bush made the decision long, long before.

 

-- Saddam Hussein refused a final chance to meet his responsibilities. Yeah, right. He disarmed and he let Hans Blix's UN weapons inspectors in to check. We told Blix where to look based on Ahmed Chalabi's info, and every single one came up a dry hole. The UN refused to authorize Bush's Iraq Attaq. 

 

I could go on, but you get the picture -- it's shooting fish in a barrel.

***

 

Was Iran, not Iraq, the real threat? My son says that it sounds like we don't need a National Intelligence Czar -- what we need is a National Spellcheck Czar.

***

 

Kang vs. Kodos for President: For some reason, right now I'm reminded of the 1996 Simpsons episode "Treehouse of Horror VII" in which flying saucer aliens Kang and Kodos abduct Presidential candidates Clinton and Dole and impersonate them:

 

Kent Brockman: Senator Dole, why should people vote for you instead of President Clinton?
Kang: It makes no difference which one of us you vote for. Either way, your planet is doomed. DOOMED!
Kent: Well, a refreshingly frank response there from Senator Bob Dole.

 

Kent: Kent Brockman here, with Campaign '96: America Flips A Coin. At an appearance this morning, Bill Clinton made some rather cryptic remarks, which aides attributed to an overly tight necktie. 

Kodos: I am Clin-Ton. As overlord, all will kneel trembling before me and obey my brutal commands. [crosses arms] End communication. 

Marge: Hmm, that's Slick Willie for you, always with the smooth talk.

 

Announcer: Ladies and Gentlemen, 73-year-old candidate, Bob Dole. 

Kang: Abortions for all. [crowd boos] Very well, no abortions for anyone. [crowd boos] Hmm... Abortions for some, miniature American flags for others. [crowd cheers and waves miniature flags]

 

Later, Kang and Kodos are walking down the streets, holding hands. 

Kang: Fooling these Earth voters is easier than expected. 

Kodos: Yes. All they want to hear are bland pleasantries embellished by an occasional saxophone solo or infant kiss. 

A Democratic National Committee van pulls up, and George Stephanopoulos pokes his head out. 

George: Uh, Mr. President, Sir. People are becoming a bit... confused by the way your and your opponent are, well, constantly holding hands. 

Kang: We are merely exchanging long protein strings. If you can think of a simpler way, I'd like to hear it.

 

Springfield holds a Dole-Clinton debate. Clinton is giving the opening speech:

Clin-Ton: My fellow Americans. As a young boy, I dreamed of being a baseball, but tonight I say, we must move forward, not backward, upward not forward, and always twirling, twirling, twirling towards freedom.

Kang: The politics of failure have failed. We need to make them work again. Tomorrow, when you are sealed in the voting cubicle, vote for me, Senator Ka... Bob Dole. [applause

Kodos: I am looking forward to an orderly election tomorrow, which will eliminate the need for a violent blood bath. [applause]

 

Homer: America, take a good look at your beloved candidates. They're nothing but hideous space reptiles. [unmasks them] [audience gasps in terror

Kodos: It's true, we are aliens. But what are you going to do about it? It's a two-party system; you have to vote for one of us. [Murmurs from the crowd

Man1: He's right, this is a two-party system. 

Man2: Well, I believe I'll vote for a third-party candidate. 

Kang: Go ahead, throw your vote away. [Kang and Kodos laugh out loud] [Ross Perot smashes his "Perot 96" hat

 

The next day, Kodos announces the result: "All hail, President Kang." The field in front of the Capitol has now become a working ground where humans are whipped by aliens and used to carry materials to build a giant ray gun. The Simpsons, with chains around their necks, are working too, with Homer and the kids carrying wood, and Marge pushing a wheelbarrow of cinderblocks -- with Maggie on top. 

Marge: I don't understand why we have to build a ray gun to aim at a planet I never even heard of. 

Homer: Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.

***

 

Bush's "decisiveness" in Fallujah and Najaf -- Bush is running for re-election on the grounds that while he may or may not make smart decisions, he does make decisions fast and sticks to them. But has any of his vaunted Trumanesque decisiveness been evident over the last year in Iraq? The Administration's stop-start, infinitely drawn-out responses to uprisings in Fallujah and Najaf make Jimmy Carter look Andrew Jackson. The War Nerd's July column "Fallujah 2: Bush Bushwhacks the Marines" has the details on Bush's indecisiveness over that Sunni city, and the two Najaf spats with Mookie the Shi'ite mullah have followed similar templates.

 

The truth is that Bush and Rove just want to make the voters forget the war in Iraq. And, the voters might well be willing to go along since it's all very embarrassing.

***

 

What in the world happened to Cheney between Bush Administration 1 and Bush Administration 2? He was supposed to be The Man, the hardheaded guy who rode herd on the callow, ignorant President and kept him from doing anything too stupid. Instead, he's been Bush's biggest facilitator. Colin Powell said in the last Bob Woodward book that Cheney changed more from the Bush Sr. to the Bush Jr. administrations than anyone else. Why?

***

 

"2002: Bush's Lost Year:" James Fallows reports in The Atlantic (available online only to subscribers):

 

But the biggest question about the United States—whether its response to 9/11 has made it safer or more vulnerable—can begin to be answered. Over the past two years I have been talking with a group of people at the working level of America's anti-terrorism efforts. Most are in the military, the intelligence agencies, and the diplomatic service; some are in think tanks and nongovernmental agencies. I have come to trust them, because most of them have no partisan ax to grind with the Administration (in the nature of things, soldiers and spies are mainly Republicans), and because they have so far been proved right. In the year before combat started in Iraq, they warned that occupying the country would be far harder than conquering it. As the occupation began, they pointed out the existence of plans and warnings the Administration seemed determined to ignore.

 

As a political matter, whether the United States is now safer or more vulnerable is of course ferociously controversial. That the war was necessary—and beneficial—is the Bush Administration's central claim. That it was not is the central claim of its critics. But among national-security professionals there is surprisingly little controversy. Except for those in government and in the opinion industries whose job it is to defend the Administration's record, they tend to see America's response to 9/11 as a catastrophe. I have sat through arguments among soldiers and scholars about whether the invasion of Iraq should be considered the worst strategic error in American history—or only the worst since Vietnam. Some of these people argue that the United States had no choice but to fight, given a pre-war consensus among its intelligence agencies that Iraq actually had WMD supplies. Many say that things in Iraq will eventually look much better than they do now. But about the conduct and effect of the war in Iraq one view prevails: it has increased the threats America faces, and has reduced the military, financial, and diplomatic tools with which we can respond.

 

"Let me tell you my gut feeling," a senior figure at one of America's military-sponsored think tanks told me recently, after we had talked for twenty minutes about details of the campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq. "If I can be blunt, the Administration is full of s---. In my view we are much, much worse off now than when we went into Iraq. That is not a partisan position. I voted for these guys. But I think they are incompetent, and I have had a very close perspective on what is happening. Certainly in the long run we have harmed ourselves. We are playing to the enemy's political advantage. Whatever tactical victories we may gain along the way, this will prove to be a strategic blunder."...

 

And here is the startling part. There is no evidence that the President and those closest to him ever talked systematically about the "opportunity costs" and tradeoffs in their decision to invade Iraq. No one has pointed to a meeting, a memo, a full set of discussions, about what America would gain and lose....

 

Discussions at the top were distorted in yet another way—by an unspoken effect of disagreements over the Middle East. Some connections between Iraq policy and the Israeli-Palestinian dispute are obvious. One pro-war argument was "The road to Jerusalem runs through Baghdad"—that is, once the United States had removed Saddam Hussein and the threat he posed to Israel, it could lean more effectively on Ariel Sharon and the Likud government to accept the right deal. According to this logic, America could also lean more effectively on the Palestinians and their supporters, because of the new strength it would have demonstrated by liberating Iraq. The contrary argument—"The road to Baghdad leads through Jerusalem"—appears to have been raised mainly by Tony Blair. Its point was that if the United States first took a tougher line with Sharon and recognized that the Palestinians, too, had grievances, it would have a much easier time getting allied support and Arab acquiescence for removing Saddam Hussein. There is no evidence that this was ever significantly discussed inside the Administration.

 

"The groups on either side of the Iraq debate basically didn't trust each other," a former senior official in the Administration told me—and the people "on either side" he was speaking of all worked for George Bush. (He, too, insisted on anonymity because he has ongoing dealings with the government.) "If it wasn't clear why you were saying these skeptical things about invading Iraq, there was naturally the suspicion that you were saying [them] because you opposed the Israeli position. So any argument became suspect." Suspicion ran just as strongly the other way—that officials were steadfast for war because they supported the Israeli position. In this (admittedly oversimplified) schema, the CIA, the State Department, and the uniformed military were the most skeptical of war—and, in the view of war supporters, were also the most critical of Israel. The White House (Bush, Cheney, Rice) and the Defense Department's civilian leadership were the most pro-war—and the most pro-Israel. Objectively, all these people agreed far more than they differed, but their mutual suspicions further muted dissenting views.

***

 

Tom Clancy on Paul Wolfowitz: The novelist had this exchange with Deborah Norville on MSNBC (via Raimondo):

 

NORVILLE: And Paul Wolfowitz.

CLANCY: Is he really on our side?

NORVILLE: You genuinely ask that question? Is he on our side?

CLANCY: I sat in on – I was in the Pentagon in '01 for a red team operation and he came in and briefed us. And after the brief, I just thought, is he really on our side? Sorry.

***

 

Olympic Medals, Summer and Winter -- On a per capita basis, the best medal garnering nation has to be little Norway. It did well in the Summer games, winning 6 medals, but five of them gold, which put it #2 behind tiny Bahamas in the golds per capita count for Athens. But in the 2002 Winter Olympics, it won the third highest number of medals in absolute terms with 24 and the second highest number of golds with eleven. Put them together, and Norway has to be the finest all-around performer in the two Olympics.

 

On the other hand, Argentina could claim it won gold in the two biggest sports in the world, men's basketball and men's soccer (although Olympic soccer doesn't compare to World Cup soccer, but Olympic basketball is a big deal).

 

Likewise, Ethiopia, Kenya, Jamaica, and Morocco didn't win too many medals but they were almost all in running sports that everybody on earth takes a crack at.

***

 

Neocongate: The Bigger Picture: The WaPo reports:

 

For more than two years, the FBI has been investigating whether classified intelligence has been passed to Israel by the American Israel Political Action Committee, an influential U.S. lobbying group, in a probe that extends beyond the case of Pentagon employee Lawrence A. Franklin, according to senior U.S. officials and other sources.

 

The counterintelligence probe, which is different from a criminal investigation, focuses on a possible transfer of intelligence more extensive than whether Franklin passed on a draft presidential directive on U.S. policy toward Iran, the sources said. The FBI is examining whether highly classified material from the National Security Agency, which conducts electronic intercepts of communications, were also forwarded to Israel, they said.

***

 

What's the highest IQ Olympic sport? I got thinking about this while reading an essay in the WSJ by a Dow Jones junior executive who won a gold medal in the eight man rowing event. The rule of thumb is that the more boring the sport, the smarter the participants. 

 

For example, I only saw a couple of boxing matches (NBC likes more female-friendly sports and they like American winners), but Olympic format boxing (short fights, so lots of action) still has to be one of the most exciting sports of all. But, boxing generally does not attract the major intellects.

***

 

Damn right angles everywhere. Reuters (not The Onion) reports:

 

Speakers at this week's Republican convention make their remarks at a wooden podium that some Jewish groups find offensive because its decorative panels appear to form the shape of a Christian cross. A cross is even more visible in a waist-high gavel stand adjacent to the podium, leading some to question whether the party is trying to send a subtle message to its base among conservative Christians.

 

"It is the very height of insensitivity for the Republican Party to feature a cross at the center of the podium of this convention," Ira Forman, executive director of the National Jewish Democratic Council, said in a statement. "This wooden cross must be at least three feet (one meter) tall, and it sends a signal of exclusivity loudly and clearly."

 

Two other Jewish groups interviewed by Reuters expressed similar sentiments...

 

President Bush's chief political strategist, Karl Rove, told CNN he did not think the podium's decorative woodwork looked like a cross. "My God, where do they come up with this stuff?" he said. "Does it look to you like it's a cross? I don't think so."

***

 

"Log Cabin Republicans?" -- What does this name refer to anyway? Whose log? Whose cabin?

***

 

GOP Platform: The Fix Was In. Timothy P. Carney reports in NRO on how GOP higher-ups blocked debate on whether to endorse Bush's politically disastrous invite-the-world immigration plan.

 

By the way, I must thank Mr. Bush and Mr. Rove for saving this blog. I was getting depressed by lack of readership early this year, but the President's immigration plan announcement on January 7 set off an increase in traffic that continues to accelerate.

***

 

Schismatic Mormon polygamists hold successful membership drive; hundreds of surplus bachelors driven out. Here's the first news account I've ever read of what happens to left-over bachelors in a polygynist society. As I've pointed out, normally, reporters writing about polygamy, whether in Utah or Africa, interview the patriarch and various of his wives, but the surplus bachelors are never mentioned. The Salt Lake City Tribune reports:

 

A half-dozen "lost boys" who say they were cast out of their homes on the Utah-Arizona border to reduce competition for wives filed suit Friday against the polygamous church that controls the community. The six allege the Fundamentalist Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints (FLDS) and its leaders systematically - and unlawfully - ousts adolescents and young men for trivial matters or no reason from the sister cities of Hildale, Utah, and Colorado City, Ariz. "The [boys] have been excommunicated pursuant to that policy and practice and have been cut off from family, friends, benefits, business and employment relationships, and purportedly condemned to eternal damnation," their suit says. "They have become 'lost boys' in the world outside the FLDS community."

 

In the two years he has been at the helm, Jeffs has ordered a steady stream of expulsions, including those of 21 men in January. The wives and children of the outcasts generally are reassigned to other men. Supporters of the church say the oustings are reserved for members who break FLDS tenets and some of the teenage boys were drinking, smoking and carousing. But the lawsuit blames the church's support of polygamy for creating a shortage of suitable brides and prompting the oustings. The greater number of wives taken by older FLDS leaders also has increased the need to get rid of the male surplus, the suit says. It says that while previous leaders had 10 to 12 wives, Jeffs' predecessor and father, Rulon Jeffs, reportedly had 70 wives when he died. The son is rumored to have at least 50 wives, some of them his father's widows. The suit contends that hundreds of boys and young men have been kicked out, most of them poorly educated and with no support from their families. Many end up homeless or suicidal, according to the suit.

***

 

Woody Allen on Tamar Jacoby: The immigration-pushing New Yorker has moved over the last decade or so from the socialist Dissent to the neocon Commentary. A reader writes: "I'm reminded of that old Woody Allen joke that if Dissent and Commentary merged, they'd be Dysentery."

 

UPDATE: Another version of the Woody Allen joke was that he called Commentary a combination of "Commintern and Dysentery" 

***

 

If France was really our enemy, it would have encouraged us to invade Iraq -- Somehow, when whooping up an Iraq Attaq, the neocons made Republicans forget the existence of nationalism, which has only been the most potent idea in the political history of the last 225 years: 

 

See, the Iraqis, even the most hotheaded youths among them, would like being occupied by us foreigners. Doesn't everybody? Who ever heard of nations trying to throw out their foreign overlords? That's crazy talk. The reason there were over 200 separate countries participating in the new Olympics was because ... well, it was just because. Don't ask why.

 

The French, for all their sins, did not forget about nationalism. And they tried to do us a huge favor by warning President Bush of what it's like to try to occupy an Arab nation. But, he rejected their wisdom. Paul Starobin reported in The National Journal::

 

The Algerian uprising [against France from 1954-1962] certainly made a powerful impression on a young man destined for France's highest political office: Jacques Chirac. Conscripted in 1956, at the age of 23, to serve as an officer in the French army, Chirac commanded a platoon in an isolated mountainous region of Algeria. The mission was to keep order. But order proved impossible to keep, with the local population protective of the fellaghas, the armed resistance fighters from the Fronte de Liberation Nationale (FLN). Chirac himself was not wounded in engagements with the guerrillas, but some of his men were, and some were killed. In a speech to the French Military Academy in 1996, he called his time there the most important formative experience of his life.

 

According to an old friend and adviser, Algeria principally taught Chirac that occupation, even under the best of intentions, is impossible when popular sentiments have turned against the occupier: "His experience is that despite all the goodwill, when you are an occupier, when you are seen [by the local people] as an occupier, the people will want you to get out." And if Chirac was convinced of anything, according to this source, it was that the Americans would ultimately be viewed not as liberators in Iraq but as occupiers. He foresaw a kind of re-enactment of the Algerian tragedy, the source adds, a "vicious circle" in which increasingly violent acts against the occupier are met with an increasingly harsh response -- a cycle that inevitably sours local people against the occupation.

 

As the French side tells it, this perspective was at the heart of a disagreement between Chirac and Bush at a private talk late last November [2002] in Prague, where U.S. and European leaders were gathered to discuss enlarging NATO. (Although the pair talked on the telephone, this was their main exchange before the war started six months later.) According to a senior French official who reviewed a French handwritten transcript of the meeting, Chirac talked not about the risks of the major combat phase of a military campaign, which the French expected to go quickly, but about the perils of the postwar phase, in particular the dangers of underestimating the force of Arab nationalism and the prevalence of violence in a country that had never known democracy. According to the French source, Bush replied that he expected postwar armed resistance from elements connected to Saddam's Baathist regime -- but thought it unlikely that the population as a whole would come to see the U.S. as occupiers. And Chirac, according to the source, told Bush that history would decide who was right. The White House recently declined to comment on the meeting.

 

I've been doing some Googling to see if anybody on the pro-war Right ever mentioned the highly informative movie "The Battle of Algiers" (here's my review of the The Battle of Algiers in The American Conservative), which was rereleased last January after the Special Forces generals put on a screening of it in the Pentagon to educate desk warriors in what it's like to try to put down a nationalist guerilla war. All I could find was one paragraph by Mike Potemra in NRO's The Corner commending it. (Good for you, Mike.) I also haven't found any mention on the pro-Iraq Attaq side of Alistair Horne's classic history of the Algerian War, A Savage War of Peace, even though that forms the basis for a famous sub-chapter in Paul Johnson's Modern Times, which I hope every conservative pundit has read.

***

 

Dear Republican Convention Speakers: Iraq is not the War on Terror; Iraq is the War in Error -- I just wanted to clear that up. Thank you.

***

 

Richard Perle, businessman: From the Washington Post:

 

A report by a special [Hollinger] board committee singled out director Richard N. Perle, a former Defense Department official, who received $5.4 million in bonuses and compensation. The report said Perle should return the money to the Chicago-based company...

 

The report said Perle "breached his fiduciary duties" as a member of the board's executive committee, signing documents without evaluating or, sometimes, reading them, including those that allowed Black and Radler to evade audit committee scrutiny. Perle received more than $3 million in bonuses and hundreds of thousands of dollars more in compensation from a Hollinger subsidiary that invested in new media companies during the dot-com boom. The report said Hollinger International put $63.6 million into 11 companies Perle recommended and lost nearly $50 million. "Perle was a faithless fiduciary . . . and . . . should not be allowed to retain any of his Hollinger compensation," the report said.

***

 

Neocongate and Jonathan Pollard -- One of the funnier defenses of Neocongate is that Israel would never ever dare spy on the U.S. because it learned its lesson in the Jonathan Pollard case of the mid-1980s. Pollard was a cokehead who sold, by his estimate, 360 cubic feet of secret documents to Israel in return for a promise of $540,000 over ten years. Much of the information, such as on how America tracked Soviet subs, was only valuable to the Soviet Union, and -- surprise! -- it ended up in Moscow. Reagan administration officials, such as the late CIA director William Casey, believe the Israeli government traded the American secrets to the Soviets. Other have tried to argue that Soviet agents within the Israeli government obtained the information. 

 

Pollard was sentenced to life in prison. Investigators believe, by the way, based on the extreme specificity of the Israeli requests to Pollard to steal particular materials, that there was at least one more Israeli spy in the U.S. government.

 

Yet, from the public record, there's little evidence that the Pollard case put much of a dent in Israeli chutzpah, because winning Pollard's release has been a high priority of the Israeli government ever since. A 2001 editorial entitled "Let Pollard Go" in the Conrad Black-owned neocon Jerusalem Post noted:

 

In recent years, the Pollard issue has brought together a unique constellation of figures calling for clemency. Legal luminaries, such as Alan Dershowitz and Irwin Cotler, have been outspoken in their support for releasing Pollard, and the issue has cut across ideological and political boundaries here. Last year, in an unusual joint letter, [Likud leader] Binyamin Netanyahu and [Labour leader] Ehud Barak wrote: "Concerning Mr. Pollard, the people of Israel and virtually all its political parties stand as one."

 

Though upon Pollard's arrest, Israel initially sought to distance itself from the affair, claiming that it was conducted as a "rogue operation," the past decade has seen a dramatic shift in that position. In November 1995, Israel granted Pollard citizenship, while in May 1998, the Netanyahu government issued a statement recognizing Pollard as an Israeli agent and accepting full responsibility for him. All prime ministers from Yitzhak Rabin onward have appealed to successive American administrations to grant clemency, but none of these efforts have borne fruit. The closest Pollard came to being released was a promise made by Bill Clinton to Netanyahu at the Wye summit in the fall of 1998 that in exchange for signing the deal, Netanyahu would be able to take Pollard back home in freedom. Unfortunately, at the last minute, Clinton reneged.

 

What happened was that America's intelligence heads went ape when they heard Clinton had promised to release Pollard. They went public with the damage Pollard did (Seymour Hersh printed the details in the New Yorker) and Clinton backed down.

 

By the way, somebody ought to give Hersh the Presidential Medal of Freedom one of these years, although I suspect we'll need a new President for that to happen.

 

UPDATE: A reader writes:

 

The most relevant aspect of the Pollard case is that the Israelis denied that he had been spying for them, until they no longer could. This is why no one should believe the current Israeli denials of spying on the United States.

***

 

"Napoleon Dynamite" -- My 15-year-old reports that all the kids back at school are talking about this micro-budget Mormon-made comedy, which just enjoyed its biggest weekend yet even though it's been out since mid-June. It's up to $22 million on a $400,000 production budget, and who knows where it will stop. In The American Conservative (have you subscribed yet?), I wrote back in late Spring:

 

At the screening I attended, Hollywood's Bright Young Mormons were out in force as the theatre resounded with the lovely laughter of wholesome-looking starlets from the Great Basin. The twenty-something crowd found the small town misadventures and eventual triumph of an ornery high school geek (voted "Most Likely to Find Sasquatch") a cartoonish but redolent delight. This mild, PG-rated film is winning bellylaughs from gentiles under-25 too, so the studio is now rolling it out to 1,200 theatres.

 

Personally, I didn't find the movie terribly funny, which made me feel downright wizened to realize that I'm too over-the-hill to get the jokes that are slaying all the Mormon hipsters...

 

One of the less remarked demographic trends is that the makers of "Napoleon Dynamite" represent the future. As coastal sophisticates fail to reproduce themselves, an ever-increasing percentage of young white people come from conservative, religious backgrounds. Mormon Utah has by far the highest birthrate, of course, but in the 2000 election, the 19 states with the highest white fertility all voted for Bush, while nine of the ten states at the bottom of the white birthrate list voted for Gore.

 

By the way, upcoming in The American Conservative (available Friday night to Electronic Edition subscribers) is my review of the important Chinese movie Hero and my Olympics wrap-up (including new content!).

***

 

Neocongate and the AIPAC: Juan Cole has an apt quote from Sen. Ernest F. Hollings, who is retiring after 38 years in the U.S. Senate (and thus is able to speak honestly)  that helps explain why any scandal involving the American Israel Political Action Committee is unlikely to go anywhere. Hollings said:

 

"You can't have an Israel policy other than what AIPAC gives you around here. I have followed them mostly in the main, but I have also resisted signing certain letters from time to time, to give the poor President a chance. I can tell you no President takes office--I don't care whether it is a Republican or a Democrat--that all of a sudden AIPAC will tell him exactly what the policy is, and Senators and members of Congress ought to sign letters. I read those carefully and I have joined in most of them. On some I have held back."

 

Sen. Hollings was of course denounced as an anti-Semite for saying this. But, since he's retiring, AIPAC can't unleash its fundraising firepower on him in the next election. What AIPAC does, pour encourager les autres, is periodically pick out a member of Congress who dissents from the AIPAC line and floods his primary or general election opponent with support, thus ending his career.

***

 

Olympic medals wrap-up: The biggest improvement was turned in by Japan, which climbed from 18 total medals (5 gold) in 2000 to 37 (16 gold) in 2004. I've been saying for some time that the bad Japanese performances in recent Olympics were primarily psychological -- the Japanese media put too much pressure on the athletes who feel like they will shame the nation if they lose. As I blogged two weeks ago: "I predicted in VDARE, however, that eventually Japan would win something big and get its national confidence back. That may be happening, following the inspiring early victory of the Japanese men's gymnastics team." So, it looks like Japan may finally have got the monkey off its back. 

 

Everybody wants to use Olympic medals as a proxy for who is coming up in the real world, but did anybody predict mature, comfortable, aging Japan would be the hot country in 2004?

 

Otherwise, stability ruled. The US went up from 97 to 103 total medals but down from 40 to 35 golds. Russia went up from 88 to 92 medals (truly an extraordinary number considering the state Russia is in -- and if you reassembled the USSR and added in the medals won by Ukraine and Belarus, it would be way ahead of the USA), China up from 59 to 63, Australia down from 58 to 49 (no home field advantage anymore), Germany down from 56 to 48, France down from 38 to 33, Cuba down from 29 to 27, Britain up from 28 to 30, Greece up from 13 to 16, Canada down from 14 to 12, Spain up from 11 to 19. Pretty ho-hum stuff if you are looking for trends.

 

I must say that I am impressed by how India, despite its improving economy, has continued to remain incredibly awful at winning Olympic medals. For the third Summer Games in a row, this country of one billion people won just one medal. Granted, this time it was a silver, up from bronzes in 1996 and 2000, but still... Personally, I like the idea that there's a big part of the world that is different enough from the rest that they won't ever care enough about any sport other than cricket to try hard enough to win anything. But I suspect that's just a fond hope and eventually India will hop on the sports bandwagon with the rest of the world. 

***

 

"New Magazines for Black Men Proudly Redefine the Pinup" says NYT:

 

In the pages of King, a bimonthly men's magazine for the rims, bling and sneakers set, one thing is prized more than a taut waistline and a pretty face, shapely legs or a perky bosom: a large behind. "That's what our readers have come to expect from us," said Datwon Thomas, King's editor since it began publishing three years ago. "They want to see the thick girls, the girls with " Mr. Thomas, a 29-year-old married father of two, stammered here, searching for a description that would work in the pages of a family newspaper, "with, you know, a big backside."

***

 

Legacy Admissions -- Defenders of racial preferences constantly cite breaks given to children of alumni when applying to college. A friend writes:

 

My experience as an associate provost for a decade at a private university was that the legacy admissions program was a ruse to trick highly qualified students into applying.  If the students were not up to admissions standard, we turned them down with the implication that the (fictitious) legacy preference just wasn’t enough to get them over the top.  If we admitted them, they tended to be grateful for the extra (and still fictitious) boost. 

 

            I don’t offer this as a justification for such programs and I don’t know how common it is, but it would explain Larry’s observation about legacy students scoring higher on SATs than non-legacies.  “Family tradition” is just a marketing ploy, and it should not come as a surprise that it best approach caveat emptor. 

 

            Given the mischief that the defenders of racial preferences have been able to create by means of misleading references to legacy admissions, I would just as soon take them off the table.

***

 

Don't expect Neocongate to get very far: What hasn't been discussed much is that the American Israel Political Action Committee is being accused of espionage for giving the secrets from Doug Feith's Pentagon policy shop to Israel. But AIPAC is a heavyweight lobby -- In Fortune Magazine's 1997 listing of the Power 25, it came in as the #2 most powerful pressure group in all of Washington. 

 

Who's going to mess with AIPAC? 

 

Moreover, it's quite possible that one of the guilty parties released this leak to shortcircuit the investigation before it got to higher-ups.

***

 

New VDARE.com column: Opening the black box of IQ and the Wealth of Nations.

***

 

Running by Race: Here was my count of the top 100 times ever as of 1997 by different length races (men only, not including 110m and 400m hurdles):

 

100-400 800-1500

3000m Stpl

5k-10k Marathon Total
West African Descent 95% 15%

0%

0% 0% 35%
Kenyan 2% 32% 90% 41% 16% 29%
Ethiopia 0% 0% 0% 12% 8% 3%
Northwest Africa 0% 21% 2% 23% 1% 10%
European Descent 3% 20% 7% 18% 37% 14%
East Asia 0% 0% 0% 0% 16% 2%
Mexican 0% 0% 0% 3% 6% 0%

 

No doubt much has changed since then, and there were a number of people I couldn't identify back then before Google Images makes it easy to take a gander at all top track runners. Also some of the columns don't sum to 100% because I left out a row for Other East Africans, such as Burundians. 

 

But the 2004 Olympics reflect the same general trends, suggesting that different racial groups are better at different length events. That this conclusion is considered rather scandalous says a lot about the healthiness of contemporary intellectual discourse.

***

 

Neocongate and Jewish-Americans: It's important to keep in mind that the great majority of American Jews are American patriots with non-extreme views. For example, as I wrote at the beginning of the Iraq Attaq:

 

A poll by the American Jewish Committee at the beginning of January [2003] found that 59 percent of Jews supported an Iraq attack -- about the same level as other polls found for the population at large.

 

The problem, as we are seeing with the revelations coming out of the Pentagon, lies with a small coterie that's by no means all Jewish, but that has ties of such strength to Israel that their judgment is impaired by their dual loyalty, yet they are protected from direct criticism by their ability to slur their critics as "anti-Semites."

***

 

Surprise American wins silver in Olympic marathon: Mebrahtom Keflezighi is from Eritrea, next to Ethiopia. His is one of those inspiring stories about an immigrant born in a abject poverty who leaves his hut-based life and comes to America and achieves the American Dream. Unfortunately, the Keflezighi story won't inspire American runners who weren't born in African huts, since they'll just see it as more evidence that they weren't born with the genetic right stuff.

 

The nice thing about the marathon is that, like the 800m, almost everybody from around the world has a chance to win. The bad thing is that who does win seems pretty close to random, with few people winning consistently enough for the event to develop enough interesting storylines over the years. The event is just so hard that the best anybody can do is peak once in the spring for the Boston marathon and once in the fall for the New York (or other) marathon. Falling awkwardly in between seasons, the Olympic marathon tends to generate so many surprise winners that there's no surprise when somebody obscure wins.

 

In contrast, last night's 5000m was a classic because the new Ethiopian world recordholder Kenenisa Bekele, the heir to the great Gebrsellaise who had dominated the 5000m for almost a decade, was being challenged by the legendary 1500m man Hicham El-Gerrouj. The two superstars ended up sprinting for the finish line, with El-Gerrouj pulling away to equal Paavo Nurmi's 1924 accomplishment of doubling in the 1500 and 5000. The 5k and 10k tend to generate that kind of human drama more than the 42k marathon.

***

 

Neocongate: Trying to put the pieces of the puzzle together -- Juan Cole (whose wife is from Pakistan - it's a little distasteful but in this case it's important to lay everybody's biases on the table) tries to synthesize the Israeli-spy-in-the-Pentagon story. I certainly can't vouch for it, but it is interesting:

 

Here is my take on the Lawrence Franklin espionage scandal in the Pentagon.

It is an echo of the one-two punch secretly planned by the pro-Likud faction in the Department of Defense. First, Iraq would be taken out by the United States, and then Iran. David Wurmser, a key member of the group, also wanted Syria included. These pro-Likud intellectuals concluded that 9/11 would give them carte blanche to use the Pentagon as Israel's Gurkha regiment, fighting elective wars on behalf of Tel Aviv (not wars that really needed to be fought, but wars that the Likud coalition thought it would be nice to see fought so as to increase Israel's ability to annex land and act aggressively, especially if someone else's boys did the dying).

Franklin is a reserve Air Force colonel and former Defense Intelligence Agency analyst. He was an attache at the US embassy in Tel Aviv at one point, which some might now see as suspicious. After the Cold War ended, Franklin became concerned with Iran as a threat to Israel and the US, and learned a little Persian (not very much--I met him once at a conference and he could only manage a few halting phrases of Persian). Franklin has a strong Brooklyn accent and says he is "from the projects." I was told by someone at the Pentagon that he is not Jewish, despite his strong association with the predominantly Jewish neoconservatives. I know that he is very close to Paul Wolfowitz. He seems a canny man and a political operator, and if he gave documents to AIPAC it was not an act of simple stupidity, as some observers have suggested. It was part of some clever scheme that became too clever by half.

Franklin moved over to the Pentagon from DIA, where he became the Iran expert, working for Bill Luti and Undersecretary of Defense for Planning, Douglas Feith. He was the "go to" person on Iran for Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz, and for Feith. This situation is pretty tragic, since Franklin is not a real Iranist. His main brief appears to have been to find ways to push a policy of overthrowing its government (apparently once Iraq had been taken care of). This project has been pushed by the shadowy eminence grise, Michael Ledeen, for many years, and Franklin coordinated with Ledeen in some way. Franklin was also close to Harold Rhode, a long-time Middle East specialist in the Defense Department who has cultivated far right pro-Likud cronies for many years, more or less establishing a cell within the Department of Defense...


Josh Marshall, Laura Rozen and Paul Glastris have just published a piece in the Washington Monthly that details Franklin's meetings with corrupt Iranian arms dealer and con man Manuchehr Ghorbanifar, who had in the 1980s played a key role in the Iran-contra scandal. (For more on the interviews with Ghorbanifar, see Laura Rozen's web log). It is absolutely key that the meetings were attended also by Rhode, Ledeen and the head of Italy's military intelligence agency, SISMI, Nicolo Pollari, as well as Rome's Minister of Defense, Antonio Martino.

The rightwing government of corrupt billionnaire Silvio Berlusconi, including Martino, was a big supporter of an Iraq war. Moreover, we know that the forged documents falsely purporting to show Iraqi uranium purchases from Niger originated with a former SISMI agent. Watch the reporting of Josh Marshall for more on this SISMI/Ledeen/Rhode connection.

But journalist Matthew Yglesias has already tipped us to a key piece of information. The Niger forgeries also try to implicate Iran. Indeed, the idea of a joint Iraq/Iran nuclear plot was so far-fetched that it is what initially made the Intelligence and Research division of the US State Department suspicious of the forgeries, even before the discrepancies of dates and officials in Niger were noticed. ...


Journalist Eric Margolis notes of SISMI:

SISMI has long been notorious for far right, even neo-fascist, leanings. According to Italian judicial investigators, SISMI was deeply involved in numerous plots against Italy’s democratic government, including the 1980 Bologna train station terrorist bombing that left 85 dead and 200 injured. Senior SISMI officers were in cahoots with celebrated swindler Roberto Calvi, the neo-fascist P2 Masonic Lodge, other extreme rightist groups trying to destabilize Italy, the Washington neocon operative, Michael Ledeen, and the Iran-Contra conspirators. SISMI works hand in glove with US, British and Israeli intelligence. In the 1960’s and 70’s, SISMI reportedly carried out numerous operations for CIA, including bugging the Vatican, the Italian president’s palace, and foreign embassies. Italy’s civilian intelligence service, SISDE, associated with Italy’s political center-left, has long been a bitter rival of SISMI. After CIA rejected the Niger file, it was eagerly snapped up by VP Dick Cheney and his chief of staff, Lewis Libby, who were urgently seeking any reason, no matter how specious, to invade Iraq. Cheney passed the phony data to Bush, who used it in his January, 2003 address to the nation in spite of warnings from CIA . . .


So Franklin, Ledeen, and Rhode, all of them pro-Likud operatives, just happen to be meeting with SISMI (the proto-fascist purveyor of the false Niger uranium story about Iraq and the alleged Iran-Iraq plot against the rest of the world) and corrupt Iranian businessman and would-be revolutionary, Ghorbanifar, in Europe. The most reasonable conclusion is that they were conspiring together about the Next Campaign after Iraq, which they had already begun setting in train, which is to get Iran.

But now The Jerusalem Post reveals that at least one of the meetings was quite specific with regard to an attempt to torpedo better US/Iran relations:

The purpose of the meeting with Ghorbanifar was to undermine a pending deal that the White House had been negotiating with the Iranian government. At the time, Iran had considered turning over five al-Qaida operatives in exchange for Washington dropping its support for Mujahadeen Khalq, an Iraq-based rebel Iranian group listed as a terrorist organization by the State Department.


The Neoconservatives have some sort of shadowy relationship with the Mojahedin-e Khalq Organization or MEK. Presumably its leaders have secretly promised to recognize Israel if they ever succeed in overthrowing the ayatollahs in Iran. When the US recently categorized the MEK as a terrorist organization, there were howls of outrage from "scholars" associated with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (a wing of AIPAC), such as ex-Trotskyite Patrick Clawson and Daniel Pipes. MEK is a terrorist organization by any definition of the term, having blown up innocent people in the course of its struggle against the Khomeini government. (MEK is a cult-like mixture of Marx and Islam). The MEK had allied with Saddam, who gave them bases in Iraq from which to hit Iran. When the US overthrew Saddam, it raised the question of what to do with the MEK. The pro-Likud faction in the Pentagon wanted to go on developing their relationship with the MEK and using it against Tehran.

So it transpires that the Iranians were willing to give up 5 key al-Qaeda operatives, whom they had captured, in return for MEK members.

Franklin, Rhode and Ledeen conspired with Ghorbanifar and SISMI to stop that trade. It would have led to better US-Iran relations, which they wanted to forestall, and it would have damaged their proteges, the MEK.

Since high al-Qaeda operatives like Saif al-Adil and possibly even Saad Bin Laden might know about future operations, or the whereabouts of Bin Laden, for Franklin and Rhode to stop the trade grossly endangered the United States.

The FBI has evidence that Franklin passed a draft presidential directive on Iran to AIPAC, which then passed it to the Israelis. The FBI is construing these actions as espionage or something close to it. But that is like getting Al Capone on tax evasion. Franklin was not giving the directive to AIPAC in order to provide them with information. He was almost certainly seeking feedback from them on elements of it. He was asking, "Do you like this? Should it be changed in any way?" And, he might also have been prepping AIPAC for the lobbying campaign scheduled for early in 2005, when Congress will have to be convinced to authorize military action, or at least covert special operations, against Iran. AIPAC probably passed the directive over to Israel for the same reason--not to inform, but to seek input. That is, AIPAC and Israel were helping write US policy toward Iran, just as they had played a key role in fomenting the Iraq war.

 

Okay, did you get all that? Me neither. You are probably saying, "I don't like conspiracy theories." I don't either. But, being a supporter of republican self-government by the people, I especially don't like conspiracy realities. And a lot of evidence points toward Michael Ledeen as a man who has devoted much energy over the years toward turning conspiracy theories into realities.

***

 

Neocongate: George Washington foresaw it all: In his Farewell Address, George Washington explained the dangers of today's neoconservatism with prophetic clarity. Here's just an excerpt from a topic that clearly concerned the father of our country deeply:

 

"Sympathy for the favorite [foreign] nation, facilitating the illusion of an imaginary common interest in cases where no real common interest exists, and infusing into one the enmities of the other, betrays the former into a participation in the quarrels and wars of the latter without adequate inducement or justification... Against the insidious wiles of foreign influence (I conjure you to believe me, fellow-citizens) the jealousy of a free people ought to be constantly awake, since history and experience prove that foreign influence is one of the most baneful foes of republican government. But that jealousy to be useful must be impartial; else it becomes the instrument of the very influence to be avoided, instead of a defense against it. Excessive partiality for one foreign nation and excessive dislike of another cause those whom they actuate to see danger only on one side, and serve to veil and even second the arts of influence on the other. Real patriots who may resist the intrigues of the favorite are liable to become suspected and odious, while its tools and dupes usurp the applause and confidence of the people, to surrender their interests."

***

 

I can't imagine a more persuasive character reference:  The Boston Globe reports on the suspected neocon spy:

 

Entifadh K. Qanbar, a senior aide to [Ahmed] Chalabi, said yesterday: ''I know Mr. [Larry] Franklin, and I think he is a person of great integrity and a very hard worker with great values and a patriotic American."

***

 

The Washington Monthly's long-awaited muckracking article on meddlesome Michael Ledeen's attempt to set up a second Iran-Contra with his old compadre from the first Iran-Contra, shadowy arms dealer Manucher Ghorbanifar, and the help of Larry Franklin and Harold Rhode is off to a slow start here. Can't say yet whether it will amount to much. 

***

 

"The worst are full of passionate intensity" - Yeats. Long-time loose cannon and all-around international man of mystery Michael Ledeen's name keeps coming up in relation to the Israeli espionage story. The NRO Contributing Editor has quite a history, as Jim Lobe recounted:

 

When The Washington Post published a list of the people whom Karl Rove, President George W Bush's closest advisor, regularly consults for advice outside the administration, foreign policy veterans were shocked when Michael Ledeen popped up as the only full-time international affairs analyst. "The two met after Bush's election," the Post reported cheerfully, quoting Ledeen about Rove's request that "any tim