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Exactly one year ago, NATO
attacked Yugoslavia. It's worth recalling President Bill Clinton's
explanation of Why We Fought: "[T]he principle we and our allies
have been fighting for in the Balkans is the principle of multiethnic,
tolerant, inclusive democracy."
Well ... happy anniversary,
Kosovo!
Our adventure in
"humanitarian warfare" proved a fiasco, as anyone with a
firmer grasp of history than Mr. Clinton could have predicted. (He
justified our attack by claiming that the Second World War had started
in the Balkans. I seem to recall, though, that it began when Germany
invaded Poland. It was in the press at the time.) The last 700 years in
Kosovo consist of cycles of ethnic oppression, with the Serbs enjoying
the whip hand in some eras, the Albanians in others.
Ascendant in the '80s, the
Albanians began to cleanse Kosovo of its Serbian minority. The New York
Times reported in 1987, "Ethnic Albanians in the [Kosovo]
government have manipulated public funds and regulations to take over
land belonging to Serbs ... Wells have been poisoned ... crops burned.
Slavic boys have been knifed, and some young ethnic Albanians have been
told by their elders to rape Serbian girls."
What did Serb voters want?
Revenge! Politician-on-the-make Slobodan Milosevic cemented his
popularity with the Serbian electorate by reinstating Serb domination of
Kosovo.
The subsequent Kosovo Albanian
resistance was initially nonviolent, due to a lack of guns. Then,
reports The Economist, in 1997 the neighbouring "Albanian state
fell apart in the wake of a financial scandal.
"The Albanian army dissolved,
the police ran away, and their armouries were thrown open. The Kosovars
in Germany and elsewhere raised money to begin buying guns for the
guerrillas of the fledgling Kosovo Liberation Army, the KLA." Over
the next two years, about 2,000 people died in the rebellion. By
comparison, about 37,000 died during Turkey's successful crushing of
Kurdish independence.
Then, last year, U.S. Secretary of
State Madeleine Albright convened the Rambouillet conference to demand
that Milosevic allow NATO's armies to invade not only Kosovo, but Serbia
itself. Obviously, no national leader could acquiesce. Milosevic refused
to sign; NATO initiated war.
NATO's aggression backfired as
Milosevic responded by expelling roughly a million Albanians. Alarmed at
the prospect of a million Albanian refugees wandering around Western
Europe, plying their traditional trades of pimping, dealing drugs, and
fencing stolen cars, the NATO countries worked themselves into a frenzy
of moralistic outrage. Western elites demonized Milosevic as the
"The Face of Evil" (according to Newsweek)
and declared his
ethnic cleansing the worst crime against humanity since the Holocaust.
NATO proceeded to bomb Serbia back to the industrial Stone Age.
Eventually, Milosevic gave in and
withdrew his forces from Kosovo. A glorious victory for the forces of
multiculturalism over ethnic hatred? Proof that with enough virtue, will
power and cluster bombs, we can affirmatively answer the famous question
posed by Rodney King , "Can't we all just get along?" Not
exactly. Our Albanian pals in the KLA promptly began ethnically
cleansing Serb civilians from Kosovo. While they were at it, they also
sent most of Kosovo's Gypsies fleeing .
The KLA, in turn, is now
frustrated by NATO's insistence that Kosovo remain part of Milosevic's
Yugoslavia. Having shattered the time-honoured principle of the sanctity
of internationally recognized borders, President Clinton is struggling
to reclose the Pandora's Box of ethnic nationalism he opened. There is
nothing uniquely evil about the Balkans. In this world, there are
several thousand ethnic groups with their own nationalist/separatist
movements. Most such movements do not represent a majority of their
peoples, being comprised of a few underemployed intellectuals hoping
someday to become the rulers of a newly independent Lower Slobbovia.
But the ethnic troublemakers know
that if they can provoke the government into repressing their entire
group, they might convert their kinsmen to separatism (under their
leadership, of course). Today, these separatists dream that if they can
incite enough atrocities against their people to draw CNN's attention,
NATO might just bomb their government for them.
That is not the message Mr.
Clinton wants to send to every cafe conspirator in the world. Thus, his
seemingly hallucinatory demand that after all the bombing and shooting,
Kosovo must remain part of Serbian-dominated Yugoslavia, with Albanians
and Serbs living peacefully intermingled.
Mr. Clinton and his comrade, Tony
Blair, blundered in the Balkans because they didn't understand that the
sanctity of national borders contributes to international peace in the
same way that a settled distribution of property rights contributes to
domestic peace. The secret to the success of the "Anglosphere's"
experiment in self-government since, say, the Magna Carta has been the
assurance that property rights, especially in land, will be respected
and enforced by the state. If you can't be sure that your land title is
secured and respected by the state, then for your own protection you
need to cast your lot with your armed extended family. And since a
racial group, like the Serbs or the Albanians, is nothing more than an
extremely extended family, insecurity of property is an open invitation
to ethnic strife.
It's no surprise Clinton and Blair
didn't grasp the importance of settled borders -- both for real estate
and for nations -- because they've never had to worry about them in
Britain or America. Much of what we know about Shakespeare's life comes
from the English equivalent of the county registrar of deeds office. His
real estate dealings are on file because there has been no major
interruption in the security of property in Britain. So when the
Peruvian economist Hernando DeSoto visited North America, the leading
economists wanted to talk about the money supply, currency devaluations
and fiscal deficits; but he kept raising something they had never
considered: how do you set up and run a registrar of deeds office?
Even when Cromwell conquered
England, he mostly avoided stealing English property. Ins tead, he
rewarded his followers by giving them property stolen from the Irish.
Canadian and American democracy was built on the abundance of secure
real estate available to white settlers. (Of course, that land didn't
originally belong to whites, and much of the land in the American South
wasn't worked by them, but Indians and Africans were marginal enough for
whites to treat them as the English treated the Irish. Britain, Canada,
and the U.S. deal still with problems arising from violating the
property rights of the Irish, Indians, and Africans.)
If domestic property rights are
not secure, bad things follow. People arm themselves and band together
with their extended families/clans/ethnic groups/races for self-defence.
They shoot first and ask questions later.
Basically, the same things happen
when national property rights are not secure. If you are the dictator of
a small country, what lessons do you draw from watching NATO pound the
hell out of Yugoslavia? The joys of multiculturalism are probably not
the first that come to mind. More likely, your thoughts follow the same
trajectory as those of a drug dealer when he realizes that the law does
not protect his stock in trade. You must arm yourself heavily enough to
deter NATO. Missiles, nukes, chemicals, and germs readily suggest
themselves.
And what about that separatist
group that wants to split your country in two? Do you let them go as the
Czech Republic let Slovakia go a few years ago, when the Gulf War had
seemingly ended the era of international aggression so that nations
could be as small as they liked without risking conquest? Hell no.
National security will require every draftee and tax dollar you can drag
in at gunpoint.
After the glorious events of 1991
in Kuwait and Moscow, the world appeared to be entering a pax Americana
even more promising than the pax Britannica that helped make the 19th
century such an age of human betterment. A world dominated by a single
superpower with no territorial ambitions and committed to protecting
lawful property. Yet now, less than a decade after the liberation of
Kuwait, the West has grown so arrogant that we've squandered away the
sanctity of national borders, the most valuable lesson learned from
centuries of war.
Still, should the world sit idly
by while civil wars cause humanitarian nightmares within sovereign
states? Not necessarily. There are certain countries so dysfunctional
that they cry out for internationally supervised revision. Yugoslavia
might have been one, and Sudan is one. What can the West do? The answer,
shockingly enough, is to sponsor ethnic cleansing.
In certain regions, ethnic strife
is so endemic that the last resort of wise statesmen must be some form
of partition followed by population transfers. The Treaty of Lausanne in
1923 ended hundreds of years of war between Turkey and Greece by
uprooting Greeks from Turkey and Turks from Greece. Similarly, the
fractious island of Cyprus has been at peace for quarter of a century
due to its division into Turkish and Greek zones.
Even the Bosnians have stopped
killing each other now that Serbs, Croats, and Muslims each have their
own sectors. While heterogeneous Northern Ireland is notorious for
sectarian strife, the exit of Protestants has left the Republic free of
troubles.
Madeleine Albright's
Czechoslovakia expelled millions of Sudeten Germans at the end of the
Second World War, permanently ending that source of friction. Overall,
we victors in the war agreed to the deportation of at least 12 million
Germans from Eastern Europe. According to "A Brief History of
Ethnic Cleansing" in a 1993 issue of Foreign Affairs, "About
2.1 million of these died from a combination of war, hunger, cold and
disease."
The question, however, is how to
conduct ethnic cleansing humanely. This is necessary for practical
reasons as well as moral ones. Ethnic cleansings that leave the
displaced feeling robbed and humiliated are likely to lead to future
violence -- e.g., the Palestinians. If property rights have to be
violated, compensation should be paid.
Consider the mechanics of one of
the most successful of peace treaties, the Camp David Accords between
Israel and Egypt. One stumbling block to redrawing the borders was the
7,000 Jewish settlers in the Sinai, which was to be handed over to the
Egyptians. They would not live under Egyptian rule, nor would they
abandon their homes. So, they were bought out. Instead of destabilizing
the peace process, the settlers left quietly. The Sinai compensation was
generous -- about one million of today's Canadian dollars per family of
four. But the citizens of most strife-torn countries live in less
expensive homes than Israelis, making compensated population transfers a
cheap alternative to war.
The simplest way to prevent the
1.8 million Kosovar Albanians from being repressed by the Serbs, for
instance, would be to give them independence. But the 200,000 Serbs who
lived in Kosovo would have had to be taken care of so that the Albanians
didn't oppress them. A big chunk of Northern Kosovo, home of most
Kosovar Serbs and Serbia's sacred battlefields, could have been
permanently ceded to Serbia. That might have left, say, 100,000 Serbs
living in Albanian Kosovo and 100,000 Albanians living in Serbian
Northern Kosovo.
These Serbs and Albanians could
then have exchanged homes -- NATO chipping in $50,000 per family of four
to grease the skids. Then NATO could have paid $2.5 billion to Serbia as
compensation for its lost territory. A grand total of $5 billion -- a
pittance set against the costs of war.
Further, NATO could have gained a
huge degree of leverage in the region by making the compensation payable
over a ten-year period, dependent upon good behavior. If Kosovo
Albanians violate their contract by, say, trying to destabilize
neighbouring Macedonia, the uprooted Albanians families get cut off. The
same goes for Serbs. I have no idea if Milosevic would have accepted
such a deal. But it would have been a more honourable offer than
Albright's at Rambouillet. And if Milosevic had rejected it, could he
have stayed in power?
These kind of cold-blooded
calculations may seem unappealing to all those in the media who whipped
themselves into a moralistic frenzy over the crimes of the Serbs. They
may feel that Yugoslavia deserves to have its territory stripped away
without compensation, and that all those vile Serbs should lose their
homes. According to God's scale of justice, they may (or may not) be
right. But it's unlikely that the Serbs will view it that way. And those
innocent Kosovar Serbs who fled the KLA's lynch mobs are not likely to
forgive and forget. People in the Balkans are used to waiting for that
sweet moment when they can cry, "Vengeance is mine!"
The peoples of the Holy Land
forget little too. Yet because Camp David involved compensation, no
embittered Israeli lobby of former Sinai settlers strives to stir up war
with Egypt so they can reclaim their homes.
Do these expellees -- in the
Sinai, the Golan Heights, Kosovo -- truly deserve compensation? Was the
land they occupied really theirs? Do they have a moral claim that
justifies their compensation? Beats me. In fact, I don't care. All I
know is "All property is theft" and "Possession is
nine-tenths of the law." For almost every parcel of real estate
this side of Pitcairn Island, somebody stole it from somebody at some
time. But so what?
What I do know is this: whoever is
squatting on a piece of land now is going to make all sorts of trouble
if the international Great and Good try to give it to somebody else
without paying him for it. Maybe pragmatic payoffs are less fun than
moralistic crusades demanding zero tolerance for the intolerant. But far
fewer human beings will die.
Steve Sailer (www.iSteve.com) is president of
the Human Biodiversity Institute.
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